The movement in the betting line is worth noting. Several bookmakers opened at 2.5 goals, with the over priced quite conservatively, generally between 0.75 and 0.81. As kickoff approached, the line was collectively pushed up to 2.5/3 goals, yet the over price did not rise with it; instead, it remained at a low level. This kind of line increase without a corresponding rise in price usually suggests the bookmakers are deliberately cooling enthusiasm for the over and guarding against a genuine high-scoring outcome. At the same time, some firms that stuck with the 2.5-goal line lowered the over price to 0.70, further confirming the market’s expectation of goals. The underlying factors also provide plenty of support. The home side has been formidable in attack this season, with an 80% over rate, and their matches are rarely dull. Although the away side sit lower in the standings, they are not toothless going forward: over their last six matches, they have averaged 1.83 goals per game, while also conceding in every single one. In the last 10 meetings between the two teams, the over hit rate has exceeded 70%, making this historically a fixture between two sides that know how to score. The league leaders do not play cautiously at home when chasing points, and the relegation battlers will not simply sit back on the road either. Once the tempo opens up, goals should be expected. Score prediction: 2-1, 3-1.