In this international friendly, the movement of the Asian handicap market has been very clear. At the opening stage, several major European bookmakers set the line at pick'em, with the home side's water level kept at a low 0.73 to 0.82, while the away side was generally priced above 0.97. However, as the match approached, the odds trend took a key turn. Some bookmakers uniformly dropped from pick'em or even home -0.25 back to pick'em, while the home side's water level instead rose from the low end to above 0.84, with some companies even lifting it to 0.97. At the same time, the away side's water level kept falling from a high level, and at many bookmakers it has now dropped to 0.89 to 0.94. This combination of a higher home price and lower away price shows that the bookmakers are actively adjusting direction, and market confidence in the away side is gradually building. From a fundamental perspective, the home side has managed only one win in its last 10 matches, with a win rate of just 10%, and its form is quite poor. Defensively, it has conceded more than two goals per game on average, exposing clear problems at the back. The away side, although not outstanding in terms of wins over its last 10 games, has gone unbeaten in 70% of those matches, showing much stronger resilience. It has been able to draw or even beat stronger opponents, which suggests solid resistance under pressure. In terms of the head-to-head record, the two teams have met seven times in the past, and although the home side has held a slight overall advantage, their most recent meeting dates back to 2021, so the reference value is limited. Meanwhile, the away side has recently posted a high unbeaten rate against opponents of similar strength, with a notable tendency toward draws. As for motivation, the nature of a friendly means neither side is under great pressure. The home team's squad still needs time to gel, while the away side has continued the steady style it showed in the Arab Cup. With the handicap retreating to pick'em and the away side's water level falling, the unbeaten angle for the away team is worth prioritizing.