Tottenham sit 17th, just two points above the relegation zone, with enormous pressure in the fight for survival. But their injury list is alarming — Romero, Kulusevski, Simons, Odobert and five other players are unavailable, leaving the defensive midfield and attacking core almost completely depleted. Their home form is even more disastrous: only 2 wins in 18 matches, a win rate of 11.1%, and 1.72 goals conceded per game on average, with virtually no home advantage. Everton are 12th, with no relegation concerns and a relaxed mentality. Their away record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, with an unbeaten rate of 66.7%, and their ability to pick up points on the road is clearly stronger than Tottenham’s ability to win at home. They have gone over in 80% of their last 10 matches, showing consistent attacking output, and they should have plenty of scoring opportunities against Tottenham’s depleted back line. In the last 10 meetings, Everton have lost only once, so they also hold the psychological edge. Trend outlook Tottenham will be short-handed, and the pressure of the relegation battle could easily lead to mental instability. Everton’s away approach is practical, and their direct, long-ball style is well suited to exploiting Tottenham’s weakness in the air. Considering Tottenham’s poor home form, injury crisis, and inferior head-to-head record, a home win looks extremely difficult. Everton avoiding defeat is the direction worth backing. A draw is also a realistic possibility.