Match: English Premier League
Fixture: Brighton VS Arsenal
UTC Kick-off Time: 7:30pm, Wednesday 4th Mar. 2026
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Opening Odds
| Opening Odds | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 X 2 | 5.50 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| Asian Handicap | +0.5/1 2.05 | -0.5/1 1.80 | |
Scored | Goals | Over | Under |
| 2.5 | 1.83 | 2.03 | |
Corners | Corners | Over | Under |
| 9.5 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
Prediction: Arsenal Wins
While Brighton have struggled against this opponent in recent times, they do enter this match following back-to-back wins and have only lost two games at the Amex in the top flight all season.
The Seagulls may also benefit from Arsenal’s short turnaround from Sunday’s London Derby, where the Gunners were pushed on the backfoot in the closing stages despite having a man advantage. This is far from a straightforward fixture for the league leaders. Therefore, our Brighton vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal Wins and BTTS.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Brighton
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/01Premier League | Brighton Hove Albion | 2-1 (HT 2-1 FT 2-1) | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026/02/21Premier League | Brentford | 0-2 (HT 0-2 FT 0-2) | Brighton Hove Albion |
| 2026/02/15FA Cup | Liverpool | 3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0) | Brighton Hove Albion |
| 2026/02/12Premier League | Aston Villa | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Brighton Hove Albion |
| 2026/02/08Premier League | Brighton Hove Albion | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Crystal Palace |
| 2026/01/31Premier League | Brighton Hove Albion | 1-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-1) | Everton |
| 2026/01/24Premier League | Fulham | 2-1 (HT 0-1 FT 2-1) | Brighton Hove Albion |
| 2026/01/20Premier League | Brighton Hove Albion | 1-1 (HT 0-1 FT 1-1) | Bournemouth AFC |
| 2026/01/12FA Cup | Manchester United | 1-2 (HT 0-1 FT 1-2) | Brighton Hove Albion |
| 2026/01/08Premier League | Manchester City | 1-1 (HT 1-0 FT 1-1) | Brighton Hove Albion |
Brighton & Hove Albion produced a massive defensive effort to secure all three points after taking a 2-1 lead inside the first quarter of an hour against Nottingham Forest at the weekend.
Having beaten Brentford on MD27, the Seagulls have now earned the maximum six points from their last two league games, as many wins as they managed in their 14 preceding EPL matches since November.
While the hosts have earned 24 points from 14 home games this season, they have been a tough team to beat at the Amex, losing only twice at this venue in the top flight to date (W6 D6 L2).
Hurzeler heaped praise on Danny Welbeck at the weekend by saying that he is in his “best shape ever.” The 35-year-old has scored in his last two games, taking his season tally into double digits, and he will likely get the nod here ahead of Charalampos Kostoulas.
James Milner extended his all-time Premier League appearance record to 655 by starting against the Reds over the weekend. However, Carlos Baleba will likely replace him from the off here to try and cope with the Gunners’ formidable midfield.
Solly March made his long-awaited first appearance of the season on Sunday after undergoing knee surgery, meaning only Adam Webster, Stefanos Tzimas and Yasin Ayari are sidelined for the hosts this week.
Arsenal
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/02Premier League | Arsenal | 2-1 (HT 1-1 FT 2-1) | Chelsea |
| 2026/02/23Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur | 1-4 (HT 1-1 FT 1-4) | Arsenal |
| 2026/02/19Premier League | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2-2 (HT 0-1 FT 2-2) | Arsenal |
| 2026/02/16FA Cup | Arsenal | 4-0 (HT 4-0 FT 4-0) | Wigan Athletic |
| 2026/02/13Premier League | Brentford | 1-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-1) | Arsenal |
| 2026/02/07Premier League | Arsenal | 3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0) | Sunderland |
| 2026/02/04English Football League Cup | Arsenal | 1-0 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | Chelsea |
| 2026/01/31Premier League | Leeds United | 0-4 (HT 0-2 FT 0-4) | Arsenal |
| 2026/01/29UEFA Champions League | Arsenal | 3-2 (HT 3-1 FT 3-2) | FC Kairat Almaty |
| 2026/01/26Premier League | Arsenal | 2-3 (HT 1-1 FT 2-3) | Manchester United |
Meanwhile, Arsenal come into this midweek fixture following back-to-back victories in London Derbies in the space of a week, beating Spurs 4-1 on the road before a 2-1 win over Chelsea on Sunday.
The Gunners are now unbeaten in their last six top-flight matches and have scored two or more goals in five games during this period since losing 3-2 to Man United at the Emirates in January.
The visitors have dropped points in two of their last three away league games - against Wolves and Brentford - but they are unbeaten in seven and still have the best away record in the division (W8 D5 L2).
The Brazilian international produced yet another towering header to set up defensive partner William Saliba for Arsenal’s opener against Chelsea. He now has 25 (20 goals, five assists) league goal contributions for the Gunners, surpassing Laurent Koscielny’s 24.
Viktor Gyokeres had a fairly quiet outing against the Blues, but he could be one to watch here, having recorded five goals and an assist in his last seven away games for his side across all competitions.
Declan Rice picked up a knock in the second half on Sunday and is a doubt, along with Ben White. If the two Englishmen are unable to recover in time, they will join Martin Odegaard and Mikel Merino in a watching brief.
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Arsenal -0.5/1
European Handicap: Arsenal Wins
Predicted Scores: 1-2, 1-3, 2-3
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
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