Several bookmakers have uniformly opened at 3 goals, with the Over priced in the low range of 0.78 to 0.85, showing clear caution. Some operators have moved from 2.5/3 goals up to 3 goals, yet the Over price has continued to drift lower, which is a typical move to guard against the Over. Others have stuck with a 2.5-goal line, with the Over compressed to an ultra-low 0.50, indicating very strong control of risk exposure.
From a fundamental perspective, the home team has hit the Over in 50% of its last 10 matches, while the away team has gone Over in more than 60% of its last 8 games. Both sides have recently played in a relatively open style. In the last five meetings between the two teams, three saw three or more total goals. With the line set at a low price and both teams' attacking and defensive profiles in mind, the Over looks worth backing.