In this international friendly, the movement of the goal line is worth paying attention to.
At the opening stage, several bookmakers set the line at 3 goals, with the over priced in the 0.80 to 0.93 range. As the match approached, the line was collectively adjusted downward, with most bookmakers dropping from 3 goals to 2.5/3 goals, yet the over price was pushed down to a low of 0.75 to 0.83. Cutting the line without raising the price, or even lowering the price while cutting the line, suggests that the bookmakers are not turning bearish on the over. Rather, they are actively lowering the threshold for the over while controlling payout risk.
From a fundamentals perspective, Brazil have averaged 2.4 goals per game across their last 10 matches, and they came off a 6-2 thrashing of Panama, with their attack in red-hot form. However, Neymar is sidelined through injury and Fabinho is suspended, which will affect the link-up play between midfield and attack as well as the protection in front of the back line. The defense is not impregnable. Egypt have gone unbeaten in nine of their last 10 matches and held Spain to a 0-0 draw, showing solid resilience under pressure and the ability to counterattack. In the two previous meetings between these sides, both matches went over, finishing 2-0 and 4-3 respectively. Taking into account the bookmakers' move back to a lower-price line and the attacking and defensive profiles of both teams, goals on both sides look likely.