In the opening stage, several major European bookmakers uniformly set the line at 3 goals, with the over priced in the low-to-mid range of 0.78 to 0.85, clearly showing a defensive stance. As the match approached, the line not only failed to ease but actually tilted further toward the over. Some bookmakers moved the handicap from 3 goals to 3/3.5, while the over price remained stable. Others who stuck with the 3-goal line continued to push the over price down to around 0.80. Even more noteworthy, some bookmakers who opened at 2.5 goals slashed the over price to an ultra-low 0.50, a classic move to lower the line and control payouts. This shows that the market has a very strong concern about the match producing at least three goals. From a fundamentals perspective, England have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game across their last 10 matches, with their attacking output remaining steady. Against a weaker New Zealand side, their forwards should have plenty of room to operate. New Zealand have conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches, with obvious weaknesses at the back; they were just torn apart 4-0 by Haiti in their last outing. There is a huge gap in quality between the two teams, and with the World Cup approaching, England need a convincing win to lift morale, so they are unlikely to ease off too early. Backed by the low-price support on the line, the over is worth following.