This fixture strongly favours the away side when home and away form is taken into account. Capalaba have struggled badly at John Fredericks Park in recent times, losing 63% of their home matches this season, including heavy defeats to Brisbane City (0-3) and Eastern Suburbs (1-10). Their home defence has been extremely vulnerable, conceding more than two goals per game on average. Meanwhile, Brisbane Olympic have posted a 50% away win rate this season, with impressive road victories over Souths United and FQ QAS. Their ability to perform away from home, combined with Capalaba’s struggles on their own turf, puts Olympic in a strong position to take the win.