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FA Cup: West Ham United vs Leeds United Prediction & Winning Bets

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Match: FA Cup

Fixture: West Ham United vs Leeds United

Local Kick-off Time: Apr 5, 2026 4.30pm

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ODDS

CategorySelectionValue
1X212.45
1X2X3.50
1X222.75
Asian Handicap01.80
Asian Handicap02.05
Goals (Scored)Goals2.5/3
Goals (Scored)Over2.03
Goals (Scored)Under1.83

Prediction: Draw or Leeds United Win (90 minutes)

This is a contest between Premier League relegation candidates this season. Leeds United, who hold a better league position and recent form, visit West Ham United. The Asian handicap is set at a level line, which perfectly reflects the strength gap between the two teams.

Leeds United have only suffered one defeat in their last ten away matches within 90 minutes, and this fixture is likely to follow this trend. Their solid midfield and defensive line offer great stability, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin's form will be the key to Leeds United's away victory. Leeds United are more likely to win than West Ham claiming a home triumph.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

West Ham

Not for the first time at the London Stadium, West Ham benefitted from a pathetic panenka attempt to overcome a near neighbour, as Dango Ouattara channelled his inner Ademola Lookman to send Brentford crashing out of the FA Cup.

Twice the Hammers went ahead through Jarrod Bowen, and twice the visitors clawed their way back into the contest thanks to Igor Thiago, but while Ouattara made the silliest spot-kick gaffe possible, Nuno Espirito Santo's men registered a 100% success rate from five penalties.

A first FA Cup quarter-final in 10 years now awaits West Ham, who last reached this stage in the 2015-16 season - losing to eventual winners Manchester United in a replay - but not since reaching the 2006 final two decades ago have the Irons progressed to the semis.

The frenetic fight for Premier League survival takes precedence for West Ham while they languish in the relegation zone, however, as they have taken just one point from a possible six since eliminating Brentford from the cup, holding Manchester City to a creditable 1-1 draw before a 2-0 loss to Aston Villa.

The aforementioned stalemate with Man City did extend West Ham's praiseworthy unbeaten home run to six games in all tournaments, though they have kept just the one clean sheet at the London Stadium - against Bournemouth - all season long.

Date/CompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026/03/22 Premier LeagueAston Villa2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0)West Ham United
2026/03/15 Premier LeagueWest Ham United1-1 (HT 1-1 FT 1-1)Manchester City
2026/03/10 FA CupWest Ham United2-2 (PEN 5-3, HT 2-1 FT 2-2)Brentford
2026/03/05 Premier LeagueFulham0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1)West Ham United
2026/02/28 Premier LeagueLiverpool5-2 (HT 3-0 FT 5-2)West Ham United
2026/02/22 Premier LeagueWest Ham United0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0)Bournemouth AFC
2026/02/14 FA CupBurton0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0)West Ham United
2026/02/11 Premier LeagueWest Ham United1-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-1)Manchester United
2026/02/07 Premier LeagueBurnley0-2 (HT 0-2 FT 0-2)West Ham United
2026/02/01 Premier LeagueChelsea3-2 (HT 0-2 FT 3-2)West Ham United

Leeds United

The Daniel Farke derby took centre stage at Elland Road during the fifth round of the FA Cup, where the German's current side Leeds strolled past his former club Norwich, courtesy of strikes from Sean Longstaff, Gabriel Gudmundsson and Joel Piroe.

Champions of the FA Cup only once in their history - back in 1972 - Leeds have ended an even longer quarter-final exile, last appearing at this stage of the tournament in 2003 when they were edged out 1-0 by Sheffield United.

However, Leeds forgot to bring their FA Cup shooting boots back to the Premier League with them, as Farke's men have since played out back-to-back goalless draws with Crystal Palace and Brentford, leaving them without a goal in four top-flight games.

Farke's men hold just a four-point lead over 18th-placed West Ham in the lower echelons of the table as a result, although resilience on the road has been a recent theme for Leeds, who are unbeaten in six straight away games and have lost just one of their last 10

The Whites also overcame West Ham 2-1 when Santo's side visited Elland Road in October, but three of their last four trips to the Irons' turf have ended in defeat; they have conceded at least twice in every one of those contests too.

Date/CompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026/03/22 Premier LeagueLeeds United0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0)Brentford
2026/03/15 Premier LeagueCrystal Palace0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0)Leeds United
2026/03/09 FA CupLeeds United3-0 (HT 2-0 FT 3-0)Norwich City
2026/03/04 Premier LeagueLeeds United0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1)Sunderland
2026/03/01 Premier LeagueLeeds United0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1)Manchester City
2026/02/21 Premier LeagueAston Villa1-1 (HT 0-1 FT 1-1)Leeds United
2026/02/15 FA CupBirmingham City1-1 (PEN 2-4, HT 0-0 FT 1-1)Leeds United
2026/02/11 Premier LeagueChelsea2-2 (HT 1-0 FT 2-2)Leeds United
2026/02/07 Premier LeagueLeeds United3-1 (HT 2-0 FT 3-1)Nottingham Forest
2026/01/31 Premier LeagueLeeds United0-4 (HT 0-2 FT 0-4)Arsenal

Final Prediction:

Asian Handicap: Leeds United -0 (90 minutes)

European Handicap: Draw or Away Win

Predicted Scores: 0-0, 1-1, 0-1

Predicted Total Goals: 0, 1, 2

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