Match: Serie A
Fixture: Udinese vs Fiorentina
Local Kick-off Time: Mar 2, 2026 7.45pm
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ODDS
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 3.13 | 2.41 |
Prediction: Udinese to Win or Draw
Fiorentina’s struggles this season are far from accidental. Although their form has improved since December, they lack the consistency they showed last season. Their 3-0 Conference League defeat in normal time last week is clear proof.
They can win big, but they can also lose heavily, and this inconsistency opens up plenty of possibilities in this match.
The Asian handicap sets Udinese at +0.25, suggesting the home side are very likely to hold out for a draw. Fiorentina will struggle with fitness and squad depth, and Udinese may take one or two chances to win the game.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Udinese
Fiorentina's revival was stirred by their last encounter with Udinese, a stunning 5-1 success in December's reverse fixture, when the Bianconeri were reduced to 10 men within seven minutes of kickoff. Monday's hosts have also lost three of their last four home games against the Viola - as many defeats as across the previous 18 - so recent history is not on their side.
Current form is also an issue for Kosta Runjaic and co. Back-to-back victories over Hellas Verona and Roma had momentarily lifted them into Italy's top 10 before a run of three straight defeats. After losing to late goal in Lecce, they lost at home to Sassuolo; last time out, the Friuli club were beaten 1-0 by Bologna. On home turf this term, Udinese have only won four times from 13 attempts, averaging one goal per game. Nonetheless, they are on course to achieve their stated aim of mid-table safety, with Runjaic keeping the club competitive and steering them clear of danger.
| Competition | Date | Home Team | Score (HT) | Corners | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 26-02-24 | Bologna | 1-0 (0-0) | 4-7 | Udinese |
| Serie A | 26-02-15 | Udinese | 1-2 (1-0) | 7-6 | Sassuolo |
| Serie A | 26-02-08 | Lecce | 2-1 (1-1) | 7-0 | Udinese |
| Serie A | 26-02-03 | Udinese | 1-0 (0-0) | 4-7 | Roma |
| Serie A | 26-01-27 | Verona | 1-3 (1-1) | 3-8 | Udinese |
| Serie A | 26-01-17 | Udinese | 0-1 (0-1) | 2-5 | Inter Milan |
| Serie A | 26-01-10 | Udinese | 2-2 (2-1) | 3-8 | Pisa |
| Serie A | 26-01-08 | Torino | 1-2 (0-1) | 3-6 | Udinese |
| Serie A | 26-01-03 | Como | 1-0 (1-0) | 3-2 | Udinese |
| Serie A | 25-12-28 | Udinese | 1-1 (0-0) | 5-6 | Lazio |
Fiorentina
Summing up their defensive flaws this season, Fiorentina threw away a 3-0 first-leg lead in Thursday's home leg of their Conference League playoff, before edging past Jagiellonia Bialystok in extra time.
A stunning performance in Poland had put them in control of a tricky tie; however, they suffered a second-leg collapse and only regained the lead with Nicolo Fagioli's 107th-minute strike. Both teams then scored again, making for a nervous finale, but the Viola went through 5-4 on aggregate and booked a last-16 clash with more Polish opponents.
Before meeting Rakow Czestochowa in UEFA's third-tier competition, Paolo Vanoli's side must focus on retaining their Serie A status. Since arriving in November, Vanoli has steadily led Fiorentina away from the unexpected threat of relegation; last week's 1-0 win over Tuscan rivals Pisa finally took them out of the drop zone. Indeed, 15 of their 24 points have been gained this calendar year - including six from the last nine available on the road.
| Competition | Date | Home Team | Score (HT) | Corners | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa Conference League | 26-02-27 | Fiorentina | 0-3 (0-2) | 4-1 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
| Serie A | 26-02-24 | Fiorentina | 1-0 (1-0) | 4-3 | Pisa |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | 26-02-20 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 0-3 (0-0) | 3-4 | Fiorentina |
| Serie A | 26-02-14 | Como | 1-2 (0-1) | 4-2 | Fiorentina |
| Serie A | 26-02-08 | Fiorentina | 2-2 (0-1) | 9-4 | Torino |
| Serie A | 26-02-01 | Napoli | 2-1 (1-0) | 4-4 | Fiorentina |
| Coppa Italia | 26-01-28 | Fiorentina | 1-3 (1-1) | 1-6 | Como |
| Serie A | 26-01-25 | Fiorentina | 1-2 (0-1) | 8-3 | Cagliari |
| Serie A | 26-01-18 | Bologna | 2-1 (0-1) | 7-1 | Fiorentina |
| Serie A | 26-01-11 | Fiorentina | 1-1 (0-0) | 8-5 | AC Milan |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Udinese +0.25
European Handicap: Home Win or Draw
Predicted Scores: 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Predicted Total Goals: 0, 1, 2
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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