Match: Europa League
Fixture: Porto vs Nottingham Forest
Local Kick-off Time: Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
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ODDS
| Category | Selection | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1X2 | X | 3.40 |
| 1X2 | 2 | 3.30 |
| Asian Handicap | -0/0.5 | 1.85 |
| Asian Handicap | +0/0.5 | 2.00 |
| Goals (Scored) | Goals | 2/2.5 |
| Goals (Scored) | Over | 1.85 |
| Goals (Scored) | Under | 2.00 |
Prediction: Porto to win
This is the absolute headline fixture of this week’s Europa League matches, pitting the Primeira Liga leaders against a Premier League relegation struggler. Nottingham Forest will face Aston Villa in the Premier League this weekend, and three consecutive high stakes matches will inevitably lead Forest to seek a balance for maximum benefits. Compared with Porto, who still played a league match last week, Nottingham Forest undoubtedly hold a considerable fitness advantage heading into the Estádio do Dragão. The Asian handicap sets the home side at -0.5, which is a reasonable line relative to the current situations of both sides. Without Anderson, Nottingham Forest may struggle to secure a victory in Portugal.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Porto
Porto are enjoying an impressive 2025-26 season, with the Dragons still in the running for three different trophies.
Francesco Farioli's side are top of Liga Portugal with a five-point lead over second place, albeit Sporting do have a game in hand, while they are also into the quarter-finals of the Europa League and the semi-finals of the Taca de Portugal.Porto's last defeat actually came in the first leg of their Taca de Portugal semi-final tie against Sporting, losing 1-0, but they have bounced back with four wins and two draws in their subsequent six matches.
Porto will be hopeful of maintaining that momentum when they take on Nottingham Forest in the Europa League, and they will be particularly confident at their home ground. The Dragons have lost just once at home in 2025-26, a 3-1 defeat to Vitoria in December 2025, while they have won all of their five Europa League fixtures at the Estadio Do Dragao. Porto have actually lost just once in the entirety of their Europa League campaign, with seven wins and two draws, although that defeat did come against their upcoming quarter-final opponents.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/04/05 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 2-2 (HT 1-0 FT 2-2) | FC Famalicao |
| 2026/03/23 Primeira Liga | Sporting Braga | 1-2 (HT 0-0 FT 1-2) | FC Porto |
| 2026/03/20 UEFA Europa League | FC Porto | 2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0) | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/03/16 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 3-0 (HT 2-0 FT 3-0) | Moreirense |
| 2026/03/13 UEFA Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 1-2 (HT 1-2 FT 1-2) | FC Porto |
| 2026/03/09 Primeira Liga | Benfica | 2-2 (HT 0-2 FT 2-2) | FC Porto |
| 2026/03/04 Portuguese Cup | Sporting CP | 1-0 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | FC Porto |
| 2026/02/28 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 3-1 (HT 1-0 FT 3-1) | FC Arouca |
| 2026/02/23 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Rio Ave |
| 2026/02/15 Primeira Liga | Nacional da Madeira | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | FC Porto |
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest secured a 2-0 triumph against Porto on matchday three of the league phase back in October, which actually marked just the Tricky Trees' second win of the season across all competitions. Forest's best moments this term, such as that matchday three win, have come in the Europa League, while they have faced huge difficulties in the Premier League.
While Forest have booked their place in the quarter-finals of the Europa League, thanks to narrow victories against Fenerbahce (4-2) and Midtjylland (3-0 on penalties after a 2-2 draw) in the knockout rounds, the Tricky Trees are battling against relegation from the English top-flight. Nottingham Forest, who have been managed by Nuno Espirito Santo, Ange Postecoglou, Sean Dyche and now Vitor Pereira this term alone, are 16th in the table and just three points above the drop zone.
However, a vital 3-0 win against relegation rivals Tottenham Hotspur before the international break would have provided Nottingham Forest with huge confidence, and Pereira will be eager for his team to continue building momentum with a triumph on Thursday.Forest have actually impressed on the road in recent weeks, losing just one of their last five matches on the road, while they have lost only once away from home in the Europa League this term.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/22 Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur | 0-3 (HT 0-1 FT 0-3) | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026/03/20 UEFA Europa League | Midtjylland | 1-2 (PEN 0-3, HT 0-1 FT 1-2) | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026/03/15 Premier League | Nottingham Forest | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Fulham |
| 2026/03/13 UEFA Europa League | Nottingham Forest | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Midtjylland |
| 2026/03/05 Premier League | Manchester City | 2-2 (HT 1-0 FT 2-2) | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026/03/01 Premier League | Brighton&Hove Albion | 2-1 (HT 2-1 FT 2-1) | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026/02/27 UEFA Europa League | Nottingham Forest | 1-2 (HT 0-1 FT 1-2) | Fenerbahce |
| 2026/02/22 Premier League | Nottingham Forest | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Liverpool |
| 2026/02/20 UEFA Europa League | Fenerbahce | 0-3 (HT 0-2 FT 0-3) | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026/02/12 Premier League | Nottingham Forest | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Porto -0.25
European Handicap: Home Win
Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
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