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Don’t Bet Everton Win! Hidden Risks In Everton vs Burnley | Pro Tips

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Match: Premier League

Fixture: Everton vs Burnley

Local Kick-off Time: Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm

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TypeOption 1Odds 1Option 2Odds 2Option 3Odds 3
1X211.62X3.6025.25
Asian Handicap-0.5/11.83+0.5/12.03  
Scored (Goals)2.5Over 1.98 Under 1.88  
Corners9.5Over 1.83 Under 1.83  

Prediction: Burnley to Draw or Win

Everton have been in mediocre form since Grealish’s injury, picking up only 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last five Premier League games, making European qualification a difficult challenge.

Burnley are on the brink of relegation after their late equaliser against Brentford was controversially ruled out, and they now sit 6 points away from safety.

Everton’s home record at their new stadium has been very poor, with no wins in six straight matches – an alarming statistic.

Burnley have earned credible results lately, beating Crystal Palace and holding Chelsea to a draw away from home.

The Asian handicap sets Everton at -1 goal, and we back Burnley to avoid defeat on the road.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Everton

Chaos was the order of the day around the grounds at 3pm on Saturday, as no fewer than 19 goals flew in during Newcastle United vs. Everton, Burnley vs. Brentford and Liverpool vs. West Ham United, three of which came for the men in Merseyside blue.

Twice David Moyes's men went ahead at St James' Park through Jarrad Branthwaite and Beto, and twice they were pegged back by Jacob Ramsey and Jacob Murphy, but Thierno Barry's scruffy finish would prove pivotal late on. However, the Toffees were also indebted to one of the all-time great Premier League saves from Jordan Pickford, who majestically tipped Sandro Tonali's venomous volley onto the bar - a spectacular stop that merited the bicep flex soon after.

Ending a two-game losing run in the top flight in sensational style, the eighth-placed Toffees remain within touching distance of the European spots in the Premier League table, albeit no thanks to their recent form at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Indeed, Everton have failed to win any of their last seven matches at their new home - suffering five losses and playing out two draws in that time - whereas they have taken 14 points from the last 18 on offer on their travels.

Everton could come into the midweek clash with an identical squad to the one that shocked Newcastle - a squad boosted by the return of backup goalkeeper Mark Travers from a finger injury - but Moyes did reveal some unnamed doubts in his press conference. However, Jack Grealish will not play again this season as a result of his foot operation, while Carlos Alcaraz is expected to miss three to four weeks with the training injury he sustained recently, and Seamus Coleman is also sidelined. After both found the back of the net on Saturday, Moyes faces the quintessential Beto vs. Barry debate on Tuesday night, and the latter may be preferred from the off due to the tight turnaround.

Date/CompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026/02/28Premier LeagueNewcastle United2-3HT 1-2 FT 2-3Everton
2026/02/24Premier LeagueEverton0-1HT 0-0 FT 0-1Manchester United
2026/02/11Premier LeagueEverton1-2HT 1-0 FT 1-2Bournemouth AFC
2026/02/07Premier LeagueFulham1-2HT 0-0 FT 1-2Everton
2026/01/31Premier LeagueBrighton Hove Albion1-1HT 0-0 FT 1-1Everton
2026/01/27Premier LeagueEverton1-1HT 0-1 FT 1-1Leeds United
2026/01/19Premier LeagueAston Villa0-1HT 0-0 FT 0-1Everton
2026/01/10FA CupEverton1-1PEN 0-3, HT 0-3 FT 1-1Sunderland
2026/01/08Premier LeagueEverton1-1HT 1-0 FT 1-1Wolverhampton Wanderers
2026/01/04Premier LeagueEverton2-4HT 0-1 FT 2-4Brentford

Burnley

As engrossing at the action was at St James' Park, it paled in comparison to the extraordinary events at Turf Moor, where Scott Parker's men experienced every emotion possible during two hours of frenetic football.

From 3-0 down to 3-3, 4-3 up to 4-3 down, and 4-4 to 3-4 down, Burnley threatened to produce an epic turnaround not once, but twice against Brentford, only for a marginal offside call and lengthy handball check to deny them on both occasions. A melancholic Scott Parker could not fault his players' application or desire after a horrendous start, but application and desire does not put points on the board for Burnley, who will stay in 19th spot no matter what transpires in midweek.

To make matters worse for the visitors, a rejuvenated Wolverhampton Wanderers are now just six points worse off and could realistically leapfrog the crestfallen Clarets, who have now conceded 2+ goals in six of their last seven games in all competitions. Parker's crop are also yet to keep a single Premier League away clean sheet this season, but December's goalless draw with Everton at least snapped their three-match losing run against Tuesday's hosts.

Burnley also came out of their gut-wrenching loss to Brentford with no added fitness concerns, and Lyle Foster was fit enough for a second-half cameo following his return from illness. Foster and Lesley Ugochukwu were both introduced at half time for Jacob Bruun Larsen and Josh Laurent respectively on Saturday - changes that Parker should now consider making from the first whistle at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Josh Cullen (knee), Connor Roberts (calf), Zeki Amdouni (knee), Axel Tuanzebe (calf), Armando Broja (ankle), Jordan Beyer (hamstring) and Mike Tresor (ankle) are still out of contention for the newly-promoted side, while Marcus Edwards (knock) is doubtful.

Date/CompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026/02/28Premier LeagueBurnley3-4HT 1-3 FT 3-4Brentford
2026/02/21Premier LeagueChelsea1-1HT 1-0 FT 1-1Burnley
2026/02/14FA CupBurnley1-2HT 1-0 FT 1-2Mansfield Town
2026/02/12Premier LeagueCrystal Palace2-3HT 2-3 FT 2-3Burnley
2026/02/07Premier LeagueBurnley0-2HT 0-2 FT 0-2West Ham United
2026/02/03Premier LeagueSunderland3-0HT 2-0 FT 3-0Burnley
2026/01/24Premier LeagueBurnley2-2HT 1-1 FT 2-2Tottenham Hotspur
2026/01/17Premier LeagueLiverpool1-1HT 1-0 FT 1-1Burnley
2026/01/10FA CupBurnley5-1HT 3-0 FT 5-1Millwall
2026/01/08Premier LeagueBurnley2-2HT 1-0 FT 2-2Manchester United

Final Prediction:

Asian Handicap: Burnley +1

European Handicap: Away Draw or Win

Predicted Scores: 1-2, 2-2, 2-3

Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5

This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.

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