Match: Coupe de France
Fixture: Nice vs Montpellier
Local Kick-off Time: Feb 4, 2026 19:30
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Opening Odds
| Odds Type | Details | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Opening 1X2 Odds | Home Win | 1.70 |
| Draw | 4.20 | |
| Away Win | 4.20 | |
| Asian Handicap | -0.5/1 (Home Team) | 1.85 |
| +0.5/1 (Away Team) | 1.95 | |
| Goals Over/Under | Goals Line (2.5/3) | Over: 1.83 / Under: 1.98 |
| Corners Over/Under | Corners Line (9.5) | Over: 1.72 / Under: 2.00 |
Prediction: Nice to Win
This is a cup tie between a Ligue 1 side and a Ligue 2 side, which usually results in either a large-margin victory or an upset. This match will clearly be the former. Although Nice sit 13th in Ligue 1 this season, Montpellier are also in poor form, ranking just 9th in Ligue 2, so the gap between the two sides is significant.
Nevertheless, Montpellier did thrash Ligue 1's 18th-placed Metz 4-0 in the Coupe de France earlier, but Nice are clearly a different class to Metz. Montpellier may pose some threat to Nice, but a convincing victory for Nice is the most likely outcome.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis
Nice
Nice are enduring a challenging 2025–26 campaign and appear on course for one of their lowest Ligue 1 finishes in recent years, while their European journey has also come to an early end.
After concluding their Europa League run in disappointing fashion — finishing 33rd in the league-phase table following a 1–0 loss at Ludogorets on matchday eight — Claude Puel’s men played out a 2–2 comeback draw at home to Brest last weekend.Les Aiglons fought back from a two-goal deficit courtesy of second-half strikes from Ali Abdi and Elye Wahi, though that result leaves Nice 13th in the Ligue 1 table, nine points clear of the relegation zone and the same distance adrift of the continental places.
Despite a below-par campaign so far, fans of the Eagles can take encouragement from a recent upturn in resilience, after seeing their team weather a nine-game losing streak to just two defeats in their last eight matches (W4, D2).Two of their four victories in that sequence came in the Coupe de France, having defeated Saint-Etienne 2–1 before edging Nantes on penalties to reach this stage for the fifth time in seven years.However, Le Gym have progressed beyond the round of 16 only twice in that period, including a run to the 2021–22 final, where they were beaten by Nantes; however, Nice have gone all the way on three occasions — in 1951–52, 1953–54 and 1996–97.
Nice continue to grapple with several defensive injury concerns, with Melvin Bard, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Moise Bombito and Youssouf Ndayishimiye all sidelined.Since returning from the Africa Cup of Nations, Yehvann Diouf has yet to fully reclaim the number-one spot, but he is likely to start in goal here, potentially allowing Maxime Dupe to be preserved for league duties.Centre-back Juma Bah also returns to contention after missing the weekend draw with Brest through suspension for accumulated bookings.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT / Penalty) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/02 Ligue 1 | OGC Nice | HT 0-2 / FT 2-2 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2026/01/30 UEFA Europa League | Ludogorets Razgrad | HT 1-0 / FT 1-0 | OGC Nice |
| 2026/01/25 Ligue 1 | FC Nantes | HT 1-3 / FT 1-4 | OGC Nice |
| 2026/01/23 UEFA Europa League | OGC Nice | HT 2-0 / FT 3-1 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2026/01/18 Ligue 1 | Toulouse FC | HT 2-0 / FT 5-1 | OGC Nice |
| 2026/01/12 Coupe de France | FC Nantes | HT 0-1 / FT 1-1 (Penalty kick 3-5) | OGC Nice |
| 2026/01/04 Ligue 1 | OGC Nice | HT 0-1 / FT 1-1 | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2025/12/21 Coupe de France | OGC Nice | HT 1-1 / FT 2-1 | AS Saint-Étienne |
| 2025/12/15 Ligue 1 | RC Lens | HT 1-0 / FT 2-0 | OGC Nice |
| 2025/12/12 UEFA Europa League | OGC Nice | HT 0-1 / FT 0-1 | Sporting Braga |
Montpellier
Montpellier, though, arrive with momentum of their own, particularly on the road, having won seven of their last 11 away matches across all competitions (D2, L2), including victories in all four of their Coupe de France ties this season.Zoumana Camara’s men opened their cup campaign with a 2–0 win at Agde, followed by a 4–0 thrashing of Montceau, a narrow 1–0 success at Cannet-Roussillon, and most recently a 4–0 dismantling of Metz.
La Paillade are aiming to reach the Coupe de France quarter-finals for only the second time in 14 years, though memories of a 2023–24 exit at this very stage to Nice — coupled with a 2–0 defeat on their most recent visit to the Riviera — offer limited encouragement.That said, Montpellier enter this contest with four wins in their last six matches (L2), including a 3–1 victory over Guingamp at the weekend, which leaves them ninth in Ligue 2 and seven points off the promotion places.
Montpellier, meanwhile, boast a near-full squad, although midfielder Teji Savanier is a doubt after missing the weekend fixture.Left-back Theo Sainte-Luce has been sidelined since early December and is expected to sit out a ninth consecutive match.Alexandre Mendy netted twice from the penalty spot last time out to take his season tally to nine goals and will be the primary attacking threat once again.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/01/31 French Ligue 2 | Montpellier Hérault SC | HT 2-1 / FT 3-1 | Guingamp |
| 2026/01/24 French Ligue 2 | Bastia | HT 0-1 / FT 0-2 | Montpellier Hérault SC |
| 2026/01/17 French Ligue 2 | Boulogne | HT 0-0 / FT 1-0 | Montpellier Hérault SC |
| 2026/01/12 Coupe de France | Metz | HT 0-2 / FT 0-4 | Montpellier Hérault SC |
| 2026/01/06 French Ligue 2 | Montpellier Hérault SC | HT 0-1 / FT 1-3 | USL Dunkerque |
| 2025/12/20 Coupe de France | Canet Roussillon | HT 0-0 / FT 0-1 | Montpellier Hérault SC |
| 2025/12/13 French Ligue 2 | Grenoble | HT 0-1 / FT 1-1 | Montpellier Hérault SC |
| 2025/12/06 French Ligue 2 | Montpellier Hérault SC | HT 0-1 / FT 0-1 | Pau FC |
| 2025/11/29 Coupe de France | Montceau | HT 0-0 / FT 0-2 | Montpellier Hérault SC |
| 2025/11/25 French Ligue 2 | Stade DE Reims | HT 1-0 / FT 2-0 | Montpellier Hérault SC |
Final Prediction
Asian Handicap: Nice -0.75
European Handicap: Home win
Predicted Scores: 3-0, 4-1, 4-0
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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