Match: Serie A
Fixture: Napoli vs AC Milan
Local Kick-off Time: Apr 6, 2026 7.45pm
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ODDS
| Category | Selection | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 2.50 |
| 1X2 | X | 3.10 |
| 1X2 | 2 | 2.80 |
| Asian Handicap | 0 | 1.83 |
| Asian Handicap | 0 | 2.03 |
| Goals (Scored) | Goals | 2/2.5 |
| Goals (Scored) | Over | 2.03 |
| Goals (Scored) | Under | 1.83 |
| Corners | Corners | 9.5 |
| Corners | Over | 1.90 |
| Corners | Under | 1.80 |
Prediction: Napoli -0
The two sides rank second and third in the league table, separated by only one point.
The return of Kevin De Bruyne is a pivotal addition for Napoli, while Romelu Lukaku refused to join international training, meaning Napoli are likely to lose a key forward. AC Milan can field a full-strength squad.
Looking at Napoli's home record, the Asian handicap is only set at a level line, seemingly favouring the away side AC Milan. However, Napoli have only lost at home to Chelsea in the Champions League in their last ten home games, with a low probability of defeat. We back Napoli to win.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Napoli
Having endured a miserable start to 2026, Napoli roared back into form just before international football stepped in, winning four consecutive Serie A matches for the first time since September.
After crashing out of Europe and seeing their title defence falter, the Partenopei seem to be steadying the ship ahead of the run-in.
Last time out, a 1-0 win in Cagliari brought their first clean sheet in 11 attempts - not characteristic of an Antonio Conte side - and moved them to within seven points of stalling league leaders Inter.
Even if they are not totally out of the Scudetto race, Conte's men are also glancing over their shoulders at fellow Champions League challengers Como, Roma and Juventus.
Napoli hold an eight-point advantage over fifth-placed Juve with eight rounds remaining, but Conte will surely take nothing for granted.
Before Milan pay a visit on Monday, his team are still unbeaten in Serie A home matches this season - in fact, that undefeated streak dates back to December 2024.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/21 Serie A | Cagliari | 0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1) | Napoli |
| 2026/03/15 Serie A | Napoli | 2-1 (HT 0-1 FT 2-1) | Lecce |
| 2026/03/07 Serie A | Napoli | 2-1 (HT 1-0 FT 2-1) | Torino |
| 2026/03/01 Serie A | Hellas Verona | 1-2 (HT 0-1 FT 1-2) | Napoli |
| 2026/02/22 Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1 (HT 0-1 FT 2-1) | Napoli |
| 2026/02/16 Serie A | Napoli | 2-2 (HT 1-1 FT 2-2) | AS Roma |
| 2026/02/11 Coppa Italia | Napoli | 1-1 (PEN 6-7, HT 0-1 FT 1-1) | Como |
| 2026/02/08 Serie A | Genoa | 2-3 (HT 1-2 FT 2-3) | Napoli |
| 2026/02/01 Serie A | Napoli | 2-1 (HT 1-0 FT 2-1) | Fiorentina |
| 2026/01/29 UEFA Champions League | Napoli | 2-3 (HT 2-1 FT 2-3) | Chelsea |
AC Milan
Rossoneri who came out on top in September's reverse fixture, and they have lost on just one of their last six visits to Naples.
Most memorably, Milan inflicted Napoli's heaviest Serie A home defeat of the past 25 years - a 4-0 thumping in April 2023 - and also knocked them out of the Champions League that same spring.
By contrast, Max Allegri's men have not been involved in any European competition this season, perhaps aiding their unexpected push for the Italian title.
After beating Torino 3-2 at San Siro before the break, they sat second in the table, trailing city rivals Inter by a reduced tally of six points.
Last month's derby success re-opened the Scudetto race, but Milan may need to be flawless between now and the end of May: while they have only suffered three league defeats this season, two have come within their last five matches.
With nine wins on their travels, only Inter have scored more often or picked up more points on the road, and Allegri's well-drilled side have also conceded the fewest away goals.
Yet, Monday's assignment in Campania is as tough as they come, and Allegri has won just three of 11 previous contests with Conte.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/22 Serie A | AC Milan | 3-2 (HT 1-1 FT 3-2) | Torino |
| 2026/03/16 Serie A | Lazio | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | AC Milan |
| 2026/03/09 Serie A | AC Milan | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Inter Milan |
| 2026/03/01 Serie A | Cremonese | 0-2 (HT 0-0 FT 0-2) | AC Milan |
| 2026/02/23 Serie A | AC Milan | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Parma |
| 2026/02/19 Serie A | AC Milan | 1-1 (HT 0-1 FT 1-1) | Como |
| 2026/02/14 Serie A | Pisa | 1-2 (HT 0-1 FT 1-2) | AC Milan |
| 2026/02/04 Serie A | Bologna | 0-3 (HT 0-2 FT 0-3) | AC Milan |
| 2026/01/26 Serie A | AS Roma | 1-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-1) | AC Milan |
| 2026/01/19 Serie A | AC Milan | 1-0 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | Lecce |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Napoli -0
European Handicap: Home Win
Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
