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Premier League: Everton vs Chelsea Prediction & Winning Bets

EPL Betting Picks
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Match: Premier League

Fixture: Everton vs Chelsea

Local Kick-off Time: Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm

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ODDS

MarketHandicap/LineSelectionOdds
1X21 (Home)3.70
1X2X (Draw)3.60
1X22 (Away)1.90
Asian Handicap+0.5Home1.93
Asian Handicap-0.5Away1.93
Total Goals2.5/3Over1.98
Total Goals2.5/3Under1.88
Corners9.5Over1.83
Corners9.5Under1.83

Prediction: Everton +0.25

Chelsea are enduring their worst spell of the season. Enzo Fernandez has expressed uncertainty over his future, Levi Colwill is sidelined for six weeks, Reece James for a month, and Estevao will only return after the international break, leaving injury-hit Chelsea in serious danger for this trip to Merseyside.

Everton sit eighth, just five points behind Chelsea, making this effectively a European qualification six-pointer. Their late defeat at the Emirates last weekend showed they are a tough opponent for top sides.

The Asian handicap sets Chelsea at -0.25 goals away, and Everton have a strong chance of covering this +0.25 handicap.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Everton

After securing back-to-back victories over Newcastle United (3-2) and Burnley (2-0), Everton were unable to win a third league game in a row last weekend and their resilient display was in vain as they fell to a 2-0 defeat away against leaders Arsenal, conceding goals in the 89th and 97th minutes.

David Moyes was left “really, really disappointed” to come away from North London empty handed, but the Toffees boss still believes that his side are “close enough to be thinking” about European qualification, currently sitting eighth in the table and just two points behind Brentford in seventh. Everton, who rank joint-sixth in the Premier League form table across the last 10 matches (W4 D3 L3), boast the fourth-best away record in the division this season and have picked up more points on the road (24) than they have at the Hill Dickinson Stadium (19) where they have won just one of their last seven home league games (D2 L4).

Following their aforementioned home victory over Burnley at the beginning of this month, Everton are looking to win successive Premier League matches at their new stadium for the first time. This is the latest into a top-flight campaign they have not won consecutive home games since April in the 2014-15 campaign. Everton will take comfort from having lost only one of their last eight Premier League home meetings with Chelsea (W5 D2) – a 1-0 defeat in August 2022 – but they have failed to score in 12 of their last 19 top-flight matches against the Blues, including each of the last four in a row. Only against Man United (29) have they blanked in front of goal on more occasions against a PL opponent than they have versus Chelsea (28).

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away
2026/03/15 Premier LeagueArsenal2-0 (0-0)Everton
2026/03/04 Premier LeagueEverton2-0 (1-0)Burnley
2026/02/28 Premier LeagueNewcastle United2-3 (1-2)Everton
2026/02/24 Premier LeagueEverton0-1 (0-0)Manchester United
2026/02/11 Premier LeagueEverton1-2 (1-0)Bournemouth AFC
2026/02/07 Premier LeagueFulham1-2 (1-0)Everton
2026/01/31 Premier LeagueBrighton&Hove Albion1-1 (0-0)Everton
2026/01/27 Premier LeagueEverton1-1 (0-1)Leeds United
2026/01/19 Premier LeagueAston Villa0-1 (0-0)Everton
2026/01/10 FA CupEverton1-1 (0-1) (PEN 0-3)Sunderland

Chelsea

Chelsea head to Merseyside desperate to reset after a nightmare week that saw them suffer a 1-0 Premier League home defeat to Newcastle in between two losses against Champions League holders Paris Saint-Germain, crashing out in the last 16 after a bruising 8-2 aggregate defeat.

The Blues, who were comfortably beaten 3-0 at home in the second leg on Wednesday, have now lost four successive Champions League knockout matches for the first time in their history, and the pressure is mounting on head coach Liam Rosenior after what he described as another “tough night” in the dugout. Just four wins have been posted across Chelsea’s last 11 games in all competitions (D2 L5). This includes a run of one victory in five Premier League games (D2 L2) which has seen them slip to sixth in the table, though they still remain in the hunt for Champions League qualification as they sit only three points behind fourth spot with eight games remaining.

Defensive frailties continue to haunt the West Londoners. Since keeping a clean sheet in Rosenior’s first league game - a 2-0 win over Brentford in mid-January - Chelsea have conceded in eight straight Premier League matches, shipping 11 goals in the process. With tricky tests against Man City, Man United and Liverpool looming, Chelsea can ill-afford to drop too many points heading down the home straight. The Blues have failed to win their last two league visits to Everton (D1 L1 - both at Goodison Park), but they head into Saturday’s contest boasting the joint-second best away record in the Premier League this term (W7 D4 L4).

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away
2026/03/18 UEFA Champions LeagueChelsea0-3 (0-2)Paris Saint Germain
2026/03/15 Premier LeagueChelsea0-1 (0-1)Newcastle United
2026/03/12 UEFA Champions LeagueParis Saint Germain5-2 (2-1)Chelsea
2026/03/08 FA CupWrexham2-4 (1-1)Chelsea
2026/03/05 Premier LeagueAston Villa1-4 (1-2)Chelsea
2026/03/02 Premier LeagueArsenal2-1 (1-1)Chelsea
2026/02/21 Premier LeagueChelsea1-1 (1-0)Burnley
2026/02/14 FA CupHull City0-4 (0-1)Chelsea
2026/02/11 Premier LeagueChelsea2-2 (1-0)Leeds United
2026/02/07 Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1-3 (0-3)Chelsea

Final Prediction:

Asian Handicap: Everton +0.25

European Handicap: Home Win or Draw

Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 1-1

Predicted Total Goals: 0, 1, 2

This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.

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