Match: Premier League
Fixture: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool
Local Kick-off Time: Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
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ODDS
| Market | Handicap/Line | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | – | 1 (Home) | 3.10 |
| 1X2 | – | X (Draw) | 3.70 |
| 1X2 | – | 2 (Away) | 2.05 |
| Asian Handicap | +0/0.5 | Home | 2.00 |
| Asian Handicap | -0/0.5 | Away | 1.85 |
| Total Goals | 3 | Over | 1.88 |
| Total Goals | 3 | Under | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 1.83 |
Prediction: Liverpool to win
Following a 4-0 home victory over Galatasaray, Liverpool have safely reached the Champions League quarter-finals. More encouragingly, Mohamed Salah scored a superb goal in that match and looks much sharper.
Brighton’s home win rate stands at only 40% this season, while Liverpool’s away win rate is also 40%. The international break starts next week, and Liverpool have now finished a tough run of midweek fixtures.
The Asian handicap sets Liverpool at -0.25 goals, and an away win for Liverpool is the most likely outcome.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Brighton
Following a miserable run of just one win in 13 Premier League matches from the beginning of December (D6 L6), Brighton have since turned a corner as they have celebrated three victories in their last four games.
Their only setback during this spell was at home to leaders Arsenal (1-0), with the Premier League's Key Match Incidents (KMI) Panel since revealing that the Seagulls were wrongly denied a penalty following a missed VAR intervention – the 18th VAR errors logged by the independent panel this season. Fabian Hurzeler’s side quickly bounced back from that slender loss to the Gunners by beating Sunderland 1-0 at the Stadium of Light last weekend, moving the 12th-placed Seagulls onto 40 points and just five behind the top seven with eight games remaining.
Still harbouring aspirations of qualifying for Europe, Brighton head into Saturday’s clash with Liverpool having won two of their last three home league meetings with the Reds (D1) having previously prevailed in only one of their first 13 encounters (D6 L6). They secured a 3-2 win in this exact fixture at the Amex last season. Keeping it tight at the back early doors could be key if Brighton wish to beat Liverpool one again this weekend; the Seagulls are one of only three Premier League teams - along with Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur - to have conceded more first-half goals (19) than goals in the second half of matches (17) this season.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/14 Premier League | Sunderland | 0-1 (0-0) | Brighton&Hove Albion |
| 2026/03/05 Premier League | Brighton&Hove Albion | 0-1 (0-1) | Arsenal |
| 2026/03/01 Premier League | Brighton&Hove Albion | 2-1 (2-1) | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026/02/21 Premier League | Brentford | 0-2 (0-2) | Brighton&Hove Albion |
| 2026/02/15 FA Cup | Liverpool | 3-0 (1-0) | Brighton&Hove Albion |
| 2026/02/12 Premier League | Aston Villa | 1-0 (0-0) | Brighton&Hove Albion |
| 2026/02/08 Premier League | Brighton&Hove Albion | 0-1 (0-0) | Crystal Palace |
| 2026/01/31 Premier League | Brighton&Hove Albion | 1-1 (0-0) | Everton |
| 2026/01/24 Premier League | Fulham | 2-1 (0-1) | Brighton&Hove Albion |
| 2026/01/20 Premier League | Brighton&Hove Albion | 1-1 (0-1) | Bournemouth AFC |
Liverpool
Liverpool overturned a one-goal first-leg deficit to dismantle Galatasaray 4-0 at Anfield in Wednesday’s last-16 second leg, producing one of their best performances of the season to set up a Champions League quarter-final against reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain next month.
It was the “perfect game” in the eyes of head coach Arne Slot, who needed an important victory in this convincing fashion to ease the pressure on his shoulders following a frustrating 1-1 Premier League draw with relegation-threatened Tottenham Hotspur last weekend. Just four wins have been posted by Liverpool across their last 12 Premier League games (D5 L3) and the reigning champions currently sit fifth in the table, one point above Chelsea in sixth and two points behind Aston Villa in fourth with eight games left to play.
Including Richarlison's equaliser for Spurs last time out, Liverpool have conceded eight goals from the 90th minute onwards in the Premier League this season, with only Leeds shipping more (nine). Crucially, all eight of those goals conceded by the Reds have resulted in them drawing (three) or losing (five), so seeing out games is an area of improvement for Slot and co. Getting the better of Brighton this season has not been an issue for Liverpool, though, as they have already beaten the Seagulls twice by an aggregate score of 5-0, including last month’s 3-0 FA Cup fifth-round win at Anfield. Not since 2021-22 versus Arsenal have the Reds won three matches without conceding against an opponent in the same season.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/19 UEFA Champions League | Liverpool | 4-0 (1-0) | Galatasaray |
| 2026/03/16 Premier League | Liverpool | 1-1 (1-0) | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2026/03/11 UEFA Champions League | Galatasaray | 1-0 (1-0) | Liverpool |
| 2026/03/07 FA Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1-3 (0-0) | Liverpool |
| 2026/03/04 Premier League | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2-1 (0-0) | Liverpool |
| 2026/02/28 Premier League | Liverpool | 5-2 (3-0) | West Ham United |
| 2026/02/22 Premier League | Nottingham Forest | 0-1 (0-0) | Liverpool |
| 2026/02/15 FA Cup | Liverpool | 3-0 (1-0) | Brighton&Hove Albion |
| 2026/02/12 Premier League | Sunderland | 0-1 (0-0) | Liverpool |
| 2026/02/09 Premier League | Liverpool | 1-2 (0-0) | Manchester City |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Liverpool -0.25
European Handicap: Away Win
Predicted Scores: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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