Match: La Liga
Fixture: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad
Local Kick-off Time: Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
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Opening Odds
| Odds Type | Details | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Opening 1X2 Odds | Home Win | 1.30 |
| Draw | 5.25 | |
| Away Win | 9.00 | |
| Asian Handicap | -1.5 (Home Team) | 1.85 |
| +1.5 (Away Team) | 2.00 | |
| Goals Over/Under | Goals Line (3/3.5) | Over: 1.98 / Under: 1.88 |
| Corners Over/Under | Corners Line (10.5) | Over: 2.00 / Under: 1.72 |
Prediction: Asian Handicap: Real Sociedad +1.5
Since changing their head coach, Real Madrid have not seen a significant improvement in results. Their goal difference in recent La Liga matches against Valencia, Rayo Vallecano, Villarreal and Levante has only been between 1 and 2 goals. Although they are just one point behind leaders Barcelona at the top of the table, their domestic dominance has not been reflected in the scorelines. Real Sociedad have been strong this season, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches, including a victory over Barcelona. The Asian Handicap has set Real Madrid at -1.5 goals, but it will be difficult for Real Madrid to win by two or more goals even at home.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid
Real Madrid have a record of 18 wins, three draws and two defeats from their 23 La Liga matches this season, with 57 points leaving them in second spot in the table, one point behind the leaders Barcelona, who are not in action until Monday evening against Girona.
As a result, Los Blancos will be bidding to move to the top of the division on Saturday, and their form in La Liga is excellent, triumphing in each of their last seven league fixtures. Alvaro Arbeloa's side recorded a 2-0 win over Valencia in Spain's top flight last weekend, and they have had a free week to prepare for this match, having been knocked out in the last-16 stage of the Copa del Rey by Albacete.
Real Madrid have the third-best home record in La Liga this season, picking up 30 points from 11 matches at Bernabeu, while Real Sociedad have 11 points from their 11 games on their travels. Los Blancos recorded a 2-1 victory over Real Sociedad in the reverse match earlier this season, while the capital outfit are unbeaten against their Basque opponents since May 2023.
Real Madrid will be missing Eder Militao (hamstring) and Jude Bellingham (hamstring) on Saturday evening, while Ferland Mendy (hamstring), Raul Asencio (illness) and Rodrygo (muscle) need to be assessed ahead of the fixture. Kylian Mbappe also again missed training on Thursday due to discomfort in his knee, but Real Madrid are hopeful that their leading goalscorer will be able to start. Vinicius Junior will be back after missing the Valencia game through suspension, while fit-again Trent Alexander-Arnold could feature from the start after making his return from injury off the bench in the two-goal success over Los Che. Brahim Diaz was impressive off the bench against Valencia and may now be given the nod from the first whistle, with Rodrygo a major doubt, while Arda Guler and Franco Mastantuono are both out of form at this stage of the season.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/09 La Liga | Valencia CF | HT 0-0 / FT 0-2 | Real Madrid |
| 2026/02/01 La Liga | Real Madrid | HT 1-0 / FT 2-1 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2026/01/29 UEFA Champions League | Benfica | HT 2-1 / FT 4-2 | Real Madrid |
| 2026/01/25 La Liga | Villarreal CF | HT 0-0 / FT 0-2 | Real Madrid |
| 2026/01/21 UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid | HT 2-0 / FT 6-1 | AS Monaco |
| 2026/01/17 La Liga | Real Madrid | HT 0-0 / FT 2-0 | Levante |
| 2026/01/15 Copa del Rey | Albacete BalompiÊ SAD | HT 1-1 / FT 3-2 | Real Madrid |
| 2026/01/12 Supercopa de EspaÃąa | FC Barcelona | HT 2-2 / FT 3-2 | Real Madrid |
| 2026/01/09 Supercopa de EspaÃąa | Atletico Madrid | HT 0-1 / FT 1-2 | Real Madrid |
| 2026/01/04 La Liga | Real Madrid | HT 1-0 / FT 5-1 | Real Betis |
Real Sociedad
Not since January 2019 have Real Sociedad beaten Real Madrid at Bernabeu in La Liga, but the visitors will enter this weekend's match full of confidence due to their excellent form. Indeed, La Real are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions, recording eight wins in that run, which has seen them rise up the La Liga table and also advance in the Copa del Rey.
Real Sociedad will enter this match off the back of a 1-0 win over Athletic Bilbao in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semi-final on Wednesday, with the second leg due to be held on March 4. In La Liga, Pellegrino Matarazzo's side have won four of their last five matches, including a 3-1 success over Elche, with the result leaving them in eighth spot in the table. La Real are now only three points off sixth-placed Espanyol, and a European finish this season has to be the aim considering their recent form, which has made up for a poor start to the campaign.
Real Sociedad, meanwhile, will be missing Takefusa Kubo (hamstring), Unai Marrero (face) and Brais Mendez (suspended) for the fixture at Bernabeu. Arsen Zakharyan (calf), Ander Barrenetxea (muscle) and Luka Sucic (groin) could also miss out, with the trio facing late fitness tests. Alvaro Odriozola could feature against his former club at right-back, but it might otherwise be the same side that took to the field for the first whistle against Athletic in the Copa del Rey, with Mikel Oyarzabal operating through the middle.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT / Penalty) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/12 Copa del Rey | Athletic Club | HT 0-0 / FT 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| 2026/02/08 La Liga | Real Sociedad | HT 2-1 / FT 3-1 | Elche |
| 2026/02/05 Copa del Rey | Deportivo AlavÊs | HT 2-1 / FT 2-3 | Real Sociedad |
| 2026/02/02 La Liga | Athletic Club | HT 0-1 / FT 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| 2026/01/26 La Liga | Real Sociedad | HT 1-1 / FT 3-1 | RC Celta |
| 2026/01/19 La Liga | Real Sociedad | HT 1-0 / FT 2-1 | FC Barcelona |
| 2026/01/14 Copa del Rey | Real Sociedad | HT 2-2 / FT 2-2 (Penalty kick 4-3) | CA Osasuna |
| 2026/01/10 La Liga | Getafe | HT 0-1 / FT 1-2 | Real Sociedad |
| 2026/01/05 La Liga | Real Sociedad | HT 0-0 / FT 1-1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 2025/12/20 La Liga | Levante | HT 0-1 / FT 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
Final Prediction
Asian Handicap: Real Sociedad +1.5
European Handicap: Home Win
Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-1
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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