
Match: Europa League
Fixture: Stuttgart vs Porto
Local Kick-off Time: Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
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ODDS
| Market | Handicap/Line | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | – | 1 (Home) | 2.50 |
| – | X (Draw) | 3.25 | |
| – | 2 (Away) | 2.75 | |
| Asian Handicap | 0 | Home | 1.83 |
| 0 | Away | 2.03 | |
| Total Goals | 2.5 | Over | 1.90 |
| Under | 1.95 | ||
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 1.90 |
| Under | 1.80 |
Prediction: Stuttgart to win
Looking at both sides’ schedules, Porto just played a gruelling O Clássico against Benfica at the weekend, while Stuttgart face RB Leipzig – their direct rival for European qualification – this coming weekend. Stuttgart will look to take full advantage and beat a potentially fatigued Porto side at home.
Nearly all of Porto’s Europa League wins have come at their own ground, and they will likely be focused on securing an away draw. The Asian handicap sets Stuttgart at -0.5 goals, and we back Stuttgart to win at home.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Stuttgart
Having claimed an emphatic 4-1 win in the first leg in Glasgow, it would have taken a major collapse for Stuttgart to lose their playoff tie with Celtic, and indeed a 1-0 defeat in the return fixture proved inconsequential to Die Roten’s progression.
The only blemish from that result is that it remains the sole match in which Sebastian Hoeness’s men have failed to score across their last 11 outings in all competitions (W7, D2, L2), a run that also included a victory over Young Boys in their final league-phase fixture to secure an 11th-place finish in the 36-team standings. Reaching the competition’s round of 16 for just the second time this century, the 1988-89 finalists - then the UEFA Cup - will continue their quest for a first continental trophy on Thursday and can be optimistic about seizing control of their tie with Porto, buoyed by their strong form at the MHPArena.
Die Roten have won five of their seven competitive matches at the ground since the turn of the year (D1, L1), scoring at least three goals in four of those outings, though manager Hoeness will be seeking greater defensive solidity as Stuttgart have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last five continental matches. There is also a patchy run of form to improve upon, with the Reds failing to win three of their last four matches (D2, L1), including a 2-2 draw at Mainz last Saturday, leaving the Swabians fourth in the Bundesliga table, ahead of fifth-placed Leipzig only on goal difference.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/07 Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 2-2 / 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/03/01 Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | 4-0 / 4-0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2026/02/27 UEFA Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 / 0-1 | Celtic FC |
| 2026/02/23 Bundesliga | FC Heidenheim | 3-3 / 3-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/02/20 UEFA Europa League | Celtic FC | 1-4 / 1-4 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/02/15 Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | 3-1 / 3-1 | FC Köln |
| 2026/02/07 Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | 2-1 / 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/02/05 DFB Pokal | Holstein Kiel | 0-3 / 0-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/02/01 Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | 1-0 / 1-0 | SC Freiburg |
| 2026/01/30 UEFA Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 3-2 / 3-2 | Young Boys |
Porto
Meanwhile, Porto enter this clash following a 2-2 stalemate in last weekend’s O Classico at Benfica, where Francesco Farioli’s men squandered a two-goal lead as first-half strikes from Victor Froholdt and Oskar Pietuszewski were cancelled out after the interval.
Despite that slip-up, the Dragons remain four points clear at the top of the Primeira Liga table, although the result further exposed their struggles on the road, having also suffered a 1-0 defeat in the first leg of their Taca de Portugal semi-final at Sporting Lisbon five days earlier. As such, Porto have won just one of their last five away matches (D2, L2), while they are also without a victory in their last three Europa League trips (D2, L1), but the Portuguese giants secured fifth place in the 36-team table following a 3-1 home win over Rangers on matchday eight of the league phase. That finish ensured the Dragons improved on last season’s campaign, when they were eliminated by Roma in the Europa League playoffs, and they will now aim to reach the competition’s quarter-finals for only the second time since lifting the trophy in 2010-11.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/09 Primeira Liga | Benfica | 2-2 / 2-2 | FC Porto |
| 2026/03/04 Portuguese Cup | Sporting CP | 1-0 / 1-0 | FC Porto |
| 2026/02/28 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 3-1 / 3-1 | FC Arouca |
| 2026/02/23 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-0 / 1-0 | Rio Ave |
| 2026/02/15 Primeira Liga | Nacional da Madeira | 0-1 / 0-1 | FC Porto |
| 2026/02/10 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-1 / 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| 2026/02/03 Primeira Liga | Casa Pia AC | 2-1 / 2-1 | FC Porto |
| 2026/01/30 UEFA Europa League | FC Porto | 3-1 / 3-1 | Rangers |
| 2026/01/27 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 3-0 / 3-0 | Gil Vicente |
| 2026/01/23 UEFA Europa League | FC Viktoria Plzen | 1-1 / 1-1 | FC Porto |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Stuttgart -0.5
European Handicap: Home Win
Predicted Scores: 2-1, 3-1, 3-0
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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