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Don’t Bet Roma Win! Hidden Risks In Bologna vs Roma | Pro Tips

ScoreSeer Sam
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Match: Europa League

Fixture: Bologna vs Roma

Local Kick-off Time: Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm

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ODDS

MarketHandicap/LineSelectionOdds
1X21 (Home)3.00
 X (Draw)3.20
 2 (Away)2.35
Asian Handicap+0/0.5Home1.80
 -0/0.5Away2.05
Total Goals2/2.5Over1.85
  Under2.00
Corners8.5Over1.80
  Under1.90

Prediction: Bologna +0.25

Roma have started a new chapter this season, targeting a top-four Serie A finish to return to the Champions League.

Right after this match, they face high-flying Como in a hugely important game. Bologna, by comparison, take on Sassuolo in Serie A at the weekend, with much less pressure.

The Asian handicap sets away side Roma at -0.25 goals, showing strong favour for them to win away. But given their away form and the crucial weekend fixture, we do not back them to take a comfortable first-leg away win, and favour Bologna to stay unbeaten.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Bologna

Having progressed from their first UEFA knockout tie for 26 years - beating SK Brann 1-0 in both legs of a playoff - Bologna are now aiming to ride that momentum and reach the Europa League's latter stages.

Since losing at Villa Park on the opening matchday, the Emilian club have lost none of their next nine fixtures in the current campaign, thereby matching their all-time best unbeaten sequence in Europe. Just avoiding defeat on Thursday evening would see them surpass a streak set way back in 1967, but coach Vincenzo Italiano will aim to take a first-leg lead down to Rome.

A 10th-placed finish in the league phase may have meant they had to take the playoff route, but Bologna are still firmly in the hunt for more silverware. Last term, the Rossoblu followed their Champions League debut by ending a 51-year wait to lift the Coppa Italia; however, this season has not quite delivered the same highs. Italiano and co endured a dramatic mid-winter downturn, in which they struggled to pick up points and were knocked out of the cup, but there have since been signs of recovery.

Despite inching back up to eighth place in Serie A, they still trail their next visitors by 12 points, and any hopes of returning to Europe surely rest on winning the Europa League. When the sides met at Stadio Olimpico earlier this season, Roma won 1-0; but before the teams reconvene in Emilia-Romagna, that is Bologna's lone loss across the last six meetings.

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away
2026/03/08 Serie ABologna1-2 / 1-2Hellas Verona
2026/03/03 Serie APisa0-1 / 0-1Bologna
2026/02/27 UEFA Europa LeagueBologna1-0 / 1-0Brann
2026/02/24 Serie ABologna1-0 / 1-0Udinese
2026/02/20 UEFA Europa LeagueBrann0-1 / 0-1Bologna
2026/02/16 Serie ATorino1-2 / 1-2Bologna
2026/02/12 Coppa ItaliaBologna1-1 (PEN 1-4) / 1-1Lazio
2026/02/08 Serie ABologna0-1 / 0-1Parma
2026/02/04 Serie ABologna0-3 / 0-3AC Milan
2026/01/30 UEFA Europa LeagueMaccabi Tel Aviv0-3 / 0-3Bologna

Roma

Both teams endured defeat against relegation-threatened opponents at the weekend, with Bologna losing 2-1 to Hellas Verona and Roma being beaten by the same scoreline in Genoa.

Roman legend Daniele De Rossi was the architect of his beloved club's downfall, as his Genoa side served another blow to the Giallorossi's dreams of Champions League qualification. One week on from spilling a two-goal lead against top-four rivals Juventus, Gian Piero Gasperini's men slipped up again, so they face a huge clash with fifth-placed Como this Sunday.

First, they must resume a continental campaign that has proceeded pretty smoothly so far: a final matchday point at Panathinaikos was enough to see them straight through by finishing eighth in the league phase. Twice runners-up in UEFA's second-tier tournament - in 1991 and 2023 - Roma also boast a coach with recent experience of Europa League success, as Gasperini lifted the trophy with Atalanta less than two years ago.

Furthermore, the capital club have won the first leg of their last six European last-16 ties, although they were still eliminated last year despite beating Athletic Bilbao 2-1 in Rome. Against fellow Italian teams, their record is more mixed: losing the UEFA Cup final over two legs to Inter Milan, then exiting to Fiorentina in the 2014-15 Europa League, before eliminating AC Milan from the same competition nine years later.

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away
2026/03/09 Serie AGenoa2-1 / 2-1AS Roma
2026/03/02 Serie AAS Roma3-3 / 3-3Juventus
2026/02/23 Serie AAS Roma3-0 / 3-0Cremonese
2026/02/16 Serie ANapoli2-2 / 2-2AS Roma
2026/02/10 Serie AAS Roma2-0 / 2-0Cagliari
2026/02/03 Serie AUdinese1-0 / 1-0AS Roma
2026/01/30 UEFA Europa LeaguePanathinaikos1-1 / 1-1AS Roma
2026/01/26 Serie AAS Roma1-1 / 1-1AC Milan
2026/01/23 UEFA Europa LeagueAS Roma2-0 / 2-0VfB Stuttgart
2026/01/19 Serie ATorino0-2 / 0-2AS Roma

Final Prediction:

Asian Handicap: Bologna +0.25

European Handicap: Home Win or Draw

Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 1-1

Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2

This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.

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