Match: Coupe de France
Fixture: Lyon vs Lens
Local Kick-off Time: Mar 5, 2026 8.10pm
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ODDS
| Type | Option 1 | Odds 1 | Option 2 | Odds 2 | Option 3 | Odds 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 2.40 | X | 3.40 | 2 | 2.75 |
| Asian Handicap | 0 | 1.78 | 0 | 2.03 | ||
| Scored (Goals) | 2.5/3 | Over 1.98 | Under 1.83 | |||
| Corners | 9.5 | Over 2.00 | Under 1.72 |
Prediction: Lyon +0.25 (within 90 minutes)
This is the standout tie of this Coupe de France round, as third-placed Lyon host second-placed Lens in Ligue 1. The importance of this midweek clash differs greatly for both sides. Lyon trail PSG by 12 points and are fully focused on securing a Champions League spot this season, while Lens are just four points behind PSG and still harbour genuine Ligue 1 title ambitions.
Ahead of the match, the Asian handicap has shifted from a level line to Lyon +0.25, showing unexpected pessimism toward the home side that does not reflect reality. We back Lyon to remain unbeaten at home within 90 minutes.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Lyon
It has become a familiar sight to see Lyon feature at this stage of the Coupe de France or further, with this team earning a comfortable triumph versus Stade Lavallois last month.
Paulo Fonseca’s men have given up just one goal in three tournament matches this year, earning a place in the final eight for the seventh time in the last eight editions. In four of their previous five appearances at this stage of the competition, they have advanced, ousting Strasbourg on penalties the last time they were here in 2024.
Lyon have won their last nine home matches across all competitions, conceding no goals in their previous three such games. They have won eight consecutive Coupe de France matches at home, with their last defeat in this tournament at Groupama Stadium coming in the quarter-finals against Monaco in 2021 (2-0). Les Gones are unbeaten in two of their previous three competitive games against Lens, beating them 1-0 in their Ligue 1 opener in August.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/02Ligue 1 | Marseille | 3-2HT 0-1 FT 3-2 | Lyon |
| 2026/02/23Ligue 1 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 3-1HT 1-0 FT 3-1 | Lyon |
| 2026/02/16Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-0HT 1-0 FT 2-0 | OGC Nice |
| 2026/02/08Ligue 1 | FC Nantes | 0-1HT 0-1 FT 0-1 | Lyon |
| 2026/02/05Coupe de France | Lyon | 2-0HT 0-0 FT 2-0 | Stade Lavallois MFC |
| 2026/02/01Ligue 1 | Lyon | 1-0HT 1-0 FT 1-0 | LOSC Lille |
| 2026/01/30UEFA Europa League | Lyon | 4-2HT 1-1 FT 4-2 | PAOK Saloniki |
| 2026/01/26Ligue 1 | Metz | 2-5HT 1-4 FT 2-5 | Lyon |
| 2026/01/23UEFA Europa League | Young Boys | 0-1HT 0-1 FT 0-1 | Lyon |
| 2026/01/19Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-0HT 2-0 FT 2-0 | Stade Brestois 29 |
Lens
Their title aspirations have taken a hit over the past two weeks, but Lens look like strong contenders to lift this trophy for the first time in club history. Pierre Sage has guided them into the quarter-finals of this tournament for only the second time in the last eight editions, scoring a combined 10 goals in their three games.
The former Lyon boss has only suffered one defeat in his last nine away matches across all competitions, losing 3-1 at Marseille in late January. At the same time, they have dropped points in their last two Ligue 1 affairs, going from the top of the table to four points behind Paris Saint-Germain for first.
In six of their previous seven Coupe de France outings away from home, Lens have advanced, winning those two games this season as the visitors by a combined margin of 7-2. Les Sang et Or have not made the semi-finals of this tournament since 2010, but have won their previous two visits to Groupama Stadium, while also winning against them in Lyon at Stade Gerland in the 2014 Coupe de France round of 16 (2-1 in extra-time).
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/28Ligue 1 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 1-1HT 1-0 FT 1-1 | RC Lens |
| 2026/02/22Ligue 1 | RC Lens | 2-3HT 1-0 FT 2-3 | AS Monaco |
| 2026/02/15Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 0-5HT 0-2 FT 0-5 | RC Lens |
| 2026/02/08Ligue 1 | RC Lens | 3-1HT 1-1 FT 3-1 | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2026/02/05Coupe de France | Troyes | 2-4HT 1-1 FT 2-4 | RC Lens |
| 2026/01/31Ligue 1 | RC Lens | 1-0HT 1-0 FT 1-0 | Havre Athletic Club |
| 2026/01/25Ligue 1 | Marseille | 3-1HT 2-0 FT 3-1 | RC Lens |
| 2026/01/18Ligue 1 | RC Lens | 1-0HT 0-0 FT 1-0 | AJ Auxerre |
| 2026/01/11Coupe de France | Sochaux | 0-3HT 0-1 FT 0-3 | RC Lens |
| 2026/01/03Ligue 1 | Toulouse FC | 0-3HT 0-0 FT 0-3 | RC Lens |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Lyon +0.25
European Handicap: Home Win or Draw
Predicted Scores: 2-1, 2-2, 3-2
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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