Match: Champions League
Fixture: Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund
Local Kick-off Time: Feb 25, 2026 5.45pm
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| Type | Option 1 | Odds 1 | Option 2 | Odds 2 | Option 3 | Odds 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 2.50 | X | 3.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
| Asian Handicap | 0 | 1.83 | 0 | 2.03 | ||
| Scored (Goals) | 2.5 | Over 1.95 | Under 1.90 | |||
| Corners | 9.5 | Over 1.90 | Under 1.80 |
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to Win or Draw
Borussia Dortmund took a great 2-0 first-leg lead at home against Atalanta, setting a strong foundation for this match. Despite fixture congestion, the 2-0 advantage will likely see Dortmund field their strongest lineup. Trailing on aggregate, Atalanta will face a fully defensive Dortmund side. A draw is the most probable outcome, with Atalanta eliminated. Dortmund may also score from limited chances and secure a win.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Atalanta
Though Atalanta finished two points and two places better off than Borussia Dortmund in the league phase, earning home advantage for this second leg, they have been left with a mountain to climb after losing 2-0 last Tuesday.
Having suffered back-to-back European defeats in January - against Athletic Bilbao and Belgian champions Union Saint-Gilloise - La Dea lost again in Germany, where goals from Serhou Guirassy and Maximilian Beier put Dortmund in control. In contrast with their fine domestic form, the Lombardy club were tamely beaten, recording just seven shots - only once have they taken fewer attempts in 42 previous Champions League matches.
So, they must now try to become the first team to progress through a knockout tie after losing the first leg by two or more goals since Liverpool miraculously defeated Barcelona back in 2019. Aside from that setback in Dortmund, Raffaele Palladino's men have flown through February, booking a place in the Coppa Italia semi-finals and continuing to climb the Serie A standings. Atalanta remain undefeated in domestic fixtures this calendar year - thanks to eight wins and two draws - and they managed to topple the Scudetto holders on Sunday. Turning around a deficit, two second-half headers saw off Napoli, with goals from Mario Pasalic and Lazar Samardzic inching La Dea closer to the all-important top four.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/22Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1HT 0-1 FT 2-1 | Napoli |
| 2026/02/18UEFA Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 2-0HT 2-0 FT 2-0 | Atalanta |
| 2026/02/15Serie A | Lazio | 0-2HT 0-1 FT 0-2 | Atalanta |
| 2026/02/10Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1HT 2-0 FT 2-1 | Cremonese |
| 2026/02/06Coppa Italia | Atalanta | 3-0HT 1-0 FT 3-0 | Juventus |
| 2026/02/01Serie A | Como | 0-0HT 0-0 FT 0-0 | Atalanta |
| 2026/01/29UEFA Champions League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1-0HT 0-0 FT 1-0 | Atalanta |
| 2026/01/25Serie A | Atalanta | 4-0HT 2-0 FT 4-0 | Parma |
| 2026/01/22UEFA Champions League | Atalanta | 2-3HT 1-0 FT 2-3 | Athletic Club |
| 2026/01/17Serie A | Pisa | 1-1HT 0-0 FT 1-1 | Atalanta |
Borussia Dortmund
A few hours before Atalanta celebrated that victory, Dortmund had pulled off a fightback of their own, as Fabio Silva equalised with almost the last kick of a 2-2 draw against RB Leipzig. That left Niko Kovac and co eight points adrift of Bundesliga leaders Bayern, who they will clash with in Der Klassiker this weekend and could soon meet in the Champions League.
The only real challengers to Germany's perennial champions, Die Schwarzgelben have been beaten just once in their last 30 league matches, while they have regularly proven their European pedigree. Runners-up two years ago, the 1997 winners are aiming to reach the last 16 for the seventh time in eight seasons, and precedent suggests they will get that far again.
To date, BVB have won all 10 UEFA ties in which they held a two-goal lead from the first leg, while their only previous meetings with Atalanta produced a 4-3 aggregate victory in the 2017-18 Europa League. On that occasion, Dortmund drew 1-1 in Bergamo, but they have actually lost on five of their last eight visits to Italy. Furthermore, this season they have twice conceded four goals in Champions League away games - against Manchester City and Juventus - so Kovac will take nothing for granted.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/22Bundesliga | RB Leipzig | 2-2HT 2-0 FT 2-2 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026/02/18UEFA Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 2-0HT 2-0 FT 2-0 | Atalanta |
| 2026/02/14Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | 4-0HT 3-0 FT 4-0 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2026/02/07Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1HT 0-1 FT 1-2 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026/02/02Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | 3-2HT 1-1 FT 3-2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 |
| 2026/01/29UEFA Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 0-2HT 0-0 FT 0-2 | Inter Milan |
| 2026/01/25Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0-3HT 0-1 FT 0-3 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026/01/21UEFA Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 2-0HT 2-0 FT 2-0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026/01/17Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | 3-2HT 1-0 FT 3-2 | FC St. Pauli |
| 2026/01/14Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | 3-0HT 1-0 FT 3-0 | SV Werder Bremen |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Dortmund +0.25
European Handicap: Away Win or Draw
Predicted Scores: 0-1, 1-1, 0-2
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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