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Europa League: Porto vs Stuttgart Prediction & Winning Bets

ScoreSeer Sam
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Match: Europa League

Fixture: Porto vs Stuttgart

Local Kick-off Time: Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm

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ODDS

MarketHandicap/LineSelectionOdds
1X2тАУ1 (Home)2.10
 тАУX (Draw)3.40
 тАУ2 (Away)3.40
Asian Handicap-0/0.5Home1.93
 +0/0.5Away1.93
Total Goals2.5/3Over1.85
  Under2.00
Corners9.5Over1.80
  Under1.90

Prediction: Stuttgart +0.25 (90 minutes)

Stuttgart dominated possession but failed to score enough in the first leg at home, eventually losing 1-2 to Porto. They beat Champions League rival RB Leipzig at home last weekend, boosting team confidence.

The Asian handicap sets Porto at -0.25 goals, an unfavourable line for the hosts, indicating many experts back Stuttgart to complete the comeback. Stuttgart have only a 38% away win rate this season, but have posted landmark results such as a 3-3 draw at Dortmund and a 4-1 win at Celtic. If they capitalise on counter-attack chances, they stand a strong chance of turning the tie around. We back Stuttgart to win away.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Porto

A fast start in last weekтАЩs first leg saw Porto race into a two-goal lead in a seven-minute burst before the half-hour mark, as Terem MoffiтАЩs opener was followed by Rodrigo MoraтАЩs strike, leaving Denis UndavтАЩs 40th-minute effort a mere consolation.

That result marked a sixth win in nine Europa League outings this season (D2, L1) for the Dragons, who secured direct passage to this round after finishing in the top eight, while it also leaves them on the brink of reaching the quarter-finals for the first time since 2013-14. A strong record at the Dragao suggests Porto can get the job done, having lost just one of their 21 matches at the ground this term (W18, D2), a run that includes a perfect record on their own turf in the league phase campaign, winning all four such matches while scoring at least twice each time.

That dominance at home was evident again on Sunday, when the Blue and Whites put three past Moreirense through goals from Gabri Veiga, Oskar Pietuszewski and William Gomes, with the result moving the Dragons seven points clear at the top of the Primeira Liga table. While that momentum boosts confidence ahead of ThursdayтАЩs clash, a rare precedent offers a note of caution, as the two-time UEL/UEFA Cup winners were eliminated by Krasnodar in the 2019-20 Champions League qualifiers despite carrying a one-goal lead from the first leg away from home.

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away
2026/03/16 Primeira LigaFC Porto3-0 / 3-0Moreirense
2026/03/13 UEFA Europa LeagueVfB Stuttgart1-2 / 1-2FC Porto
2026/03/09 Primeira LigaBenfica2-2 / 2-2FC Porto
2026/03/04 Portuguese CupSporting CP1-0 / 1-0FC Porto
2026/02/28 Primeira LigaFC Porto3-1 / 3-1FC Arouca
2026/02/23 Primeira LigaFC Porto1-0 / 1-0Rio Ave
2026/02/15 Primeira LigaNacional da Madeira0-1 / 0-1FC Porto
2026/02/10 Primeira LigaFC Porto1-1 / 1-1Sporting CP
2026/02/03 Primeira LigaCasa Pia AC2-1 / 2-1FC Porto
2026/01/30 UEFA Europa LeagueFC Porto3-1 / 3-1Rangers

Stuttgart

Stuttgart, meanwhile, have little history to lean on in terms of European comebacks in return legs, but Sebastian HoenessтАЩs side can draw belief from their last away outing in the Europa League, where they beat Celtic 4-1 in Glasgow in the previous round.

That result underlined their attacking threat on the road, with the Reds scoring at least twice in 10 of their last 13 away matches; all seven wins in that stretch came while conceding no more than once, so defensive discipline will be key if they are to turn this tie around. That said, there is a recent display of resilience to build on, as Stuttgart secured a 1-0 win over Leipzig at home over the weekend, with UndavтАЩs second-half strike proving decisive.

That victory strengthened the RedsтАЩ Champions League push by keeping them fourth in the Bundesliga table while also ending a two-game winless run and marking just their second success in the last six outings across all competitions (D2, L2). This leaves Stuttgart battling inconsistency ahead of ThursdayтАЩs encounter as they chase a first quarter-final appearance on the continental stage since reaching the UEFA Cup final in 1988тАУ89, when they lost to Napoli.

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away
2026/03/16 BundesligaVfB Stuttgart1-0 / 1-0RB Leipzig
2026/03/13 UEFA Europa LeagueVfB Stuttgart1-2 / 1-2FC Porto
2026/03/07 Bundesliga1. FSV Mainz 052-2 / 2-2VfB Stuttgart
2026/03/01 BundesligaVfB Stuttgart4-0 / 4-0VfL Wolfsburg
2026/02/27 UEFA Europa LeagueVfB Stuttgart0-1 / 0-1Celtic FC
2026/02/23 BundesligaFC Heidenheim3-3 / 3-3VfB Stuttgart
2026/02/20 UEFA Europa LeagueCeltic FC1-4 / 1-4VfB Stuttgart
2026/02/15 BundesligaVfB Stuttgart3-1 / 3-1FC K├╢ln
2026/02/07 BundesligaFC St. Pauli2-1 / 2-1VfB Stuttgart
2026/02/05 DFB PokalHolstein Kiel0-3 / 0-3VfB Stuttgart

Final Prediction:

Asian Handicap: Stuttgart +0.25 (90 minutes)

European Handicap: Away Win (90 minutes)

Predicted Scores: 1-2, 0-2, 0-1

Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3

This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.

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