Match: Serie A
Fixture: Atalanta BC vs Napoli
Local Kick-off Time: Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
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Opening Odds (Atalanta vs Napoli)
| Type | Option 1 | Odds 1 | Option 2 | Odds 2 | Option 3 | Odds 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 2.35 | X | 3.20 | 2 | 3.00 |
| Asian Handicap | -0/0.5 | 2.05 | +0/0.5 | 1.80 | ||
| Scored (Goals) | 2/2.5 | Over 1.98 | Under 1.88 | |||
| Corners | 8.5 | Over 1.72 | Under 2.00 |
Prediction: Asian Handicap: Napoli +0.25
This match pits Napoli, who only compete domestically, against Atalanta, who have a Champions League playoff tie in midweek. Atalanta lost to Borussia Dortmund in midweek and face heavy pressure for next week's Champions League return leg. With neither side boasting an impressive win rate in their last five matches, Napoli are likely to remain unbeaten away.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis
Atalanta
After missing direct entry to the last 16 by losing their final two league-phase fixtures, Atalanta suffered another Champions League setback on Tuesday evening, when they were beaten in the first leg of their playoff.Already behind within three minutes, the Nerazzurri went on to lose 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund, leaving them with a mountain to climb in next week's return leg. Previously, they had produced three straight wins across all competitions, booking a place in the Coppa Italia semi-finals by beating Juventus 3-0 and continuing their rise up the Serie A standings.One of Italy’s form clubs, Atalanta remain undefeated domestically in 2026, thanks to seven wins and two draws - last weekend, they beat Lazio 2-0 in Rome. Raffaele Palladino has seen his side add 20 points to their total this calendar year, which is the second-best tally behind imperious league leaders Inter Milan. Also on a four-match victory streak in Serie A home fixtures, La Dea will try to keep that run going this weekend, when an entertaining contest could be on the cards.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/18UEFA Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 2-0HT 2-0 FT 2-0 | Atalanta |
| 2026/02/15Serie A | Lazio | 0-2HT 0-1 FT 0-2 | Atalanta |
| 2026/02/10Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1HT 2-0 FT 2-1 | Cremonese |
| 2026/02/06Coppa Italia | Atalanta | 3-0HT 1-0 FT 3-0 | Juventus |
| 2026/02/01Serie A | Como | 0-0HT 0-0 FT 0-0 | Atalanta |
| 2026/01/29UEFA Champions League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1-0HT 0-0 FT 1-0 | Atalanta |
| 2026/01/25Serie A | Atalanta | 4-0HT 2-0 FT 4-0 | Parma |
| 2026/01/22UEFA Champions League | Atalanta | 2-3HT 1-0 FT 2-3 | Athletic Club |
| 2026/01/17Serie A | Pisa | 1-1HT 0-0 FT 1-1 | Atalanta |
| 2026/01/11Serie A | Atalanta | 2-0HT 1-0 FT 2-0 | Torino |
Napoli
In their last six meetings in Bergamo, both Atalanta and Napoli have scored on each occasion, producing an average of four goals per game.Once a dot in the distance, Napoli now lead La Dea by just eight points, having slipped out of the title race since lifting the Supercoppa Italiana in late December.Occupying third place in the table - 11 points behind Inter - their Scudetto defence is all but over, while they recently exited both the Champions League and Coppa Italia.So, securing a top-four finish is the Partenopei's main aim, with several other teams on their tail.Last week, they kept one of those clubs at arm's length and extended a long Serie A unbeaten streak at Stadio Maradona, thanks to Alisson Santos conjuring up a late leveller against Roma in the Derby del Sole. However, Antonio Conte's injury-hit squad is still creaking: in their last four league matches, Napoli have conceded eight goals, compared to just seven across the previous 10. Having also gone seven games without a clean sheet in all competitions, defensive errors are becoming more frequent. For instance, following Donyell Malen's spot kick last Sunday, they have given away the most penalties (six goals from eight conceded) in Serie A this season.Yet, Conte tends to get the best out of his men when facing tough opposition: in meetings between the current top seven, only Milan have collected more points than Napoli's 15, while Atalanta have picked up just seven. One such clash was a 3-1 victory at the Maradona in November's reverse fixture, while the southern side have also won on their last four visits to Bergamo.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/02/16Serie A | Napoli | 2-2HT 1-1 FT 2-2 | AS Roma |
| 2026/02/11Coppa Italia | Napoli | 1-1PEN 6-7, HT 0-1 FT 1-1 | Como |
| 2026/02/08Serie A | Genoa | 2-3HT 1-2 FT 2-3 | Napoli |
| 2026/02/01Serie A | Napoli | 2-1HT 1-0 FT 2-1 | Fiorentina |
| 2026/01/29UEFA Champions League | Napoli | 2-3HT 2-1 FT 2-3 | Chelsea |
| 2026/01/26Serie A | Juventus | 3-0HT 1-0 FT 3-0 | Napoli |
| 2026/01/21UEFA Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 1-1HT 0-1 FT 1-1 | Napoli |
| 2026/01/18Serie A | Napoli | 1-0HT 1-0 FT 1-0 | Sassuolo |
| 2026/01/15Serie A | Napoli | 0-0HT 0-0 FT 0-0 | Parma |
| 2026/01/12Serie A | Inter Milan | 2-2HT 1-1 FT 2-2 | Napoli |
Final Prediction
Asian Handicap: Napoli +0.25
European Handicap: Away Draw or Win
Predicted Scores: 0-1, 1-1, 0-2
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2
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