Match: Europa League
Fixture: Porto vs Stuttgart
Local Kick-off Time: Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
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ODDS
| Market | Handicap/Line | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | – | 1 (Home) | 2.10 |
| – | X (Draw) | 3.40 | |
| – | 2 (Away) | 3.40 | |
| Asian Handicap | -0/0.5 | Home | 1.93 |
| +0/0.5 | Away | 1.93 | |
| Total Goals | 2.5/3 | Over | 1.85 |
| Under | 2.00 | ||
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 1.80 |
| Under | 1.90 |
Prediction: Stuttgart +0.25 (90 minutes)
Stuttgart dominated possession but failed to score enough in the first leg at home, eventually losing 1-2 to Porto. They beat Champions League rival RB Leipzig at home last weekend, boosting team confidence.
The Asian handicap sets Porto at -0.25 goals, an unfavourable line for the hosts, indicating many experts back Stuttgart to complete the comeback. Stuttgart have only a 38% away win rate this season, but have posted landmark results such as a 3-3 draw at Dortmund and a 4-1 win at Celtic. If they capitalise on counter-attack chances, they stand a strong chance of turning the tie around. We back Stuttgart to win away.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Porto
A fast start in last week’s first leg saw Porto race into a two-goal lead in a seven-minute burst before the half-hour mark, as Terem Moffi’s opener was followed by Rodrigo Mora’s strike, leaving Denis Undav’s 40th-minute effort a mere consolation.
That result marked a sixth win in nine Europa League outings this season (D2, L1) for the Dragons, who secured direct passage to this round after finishing in the top eight, while it also leaves them on the brink of reaching the quarter-finals for the first time since 2013-14. A strong record at the Dragao suggests Porto can get the job done, having lost just one of their 21 matches at the ground this term (W18, D2), a run that includes a perfect record on their own turf in the league phase campaign, winning all four such matches while scoring at least twice each time.
That dominance at home was evident again on Sunday, when the Blue and Whites put three past Moreirense through goals from Gabri Veiga, Oskar Pietuszewski and William Gomes, with the result moving the Dragons seven points clear at the top of the Primeira Liga table. While that momentum boosts confidence ahead of Thursday’s clash, a rare precedent offers a note of caution, as the two-time UEL/UEFA Cup winners were eliminated by Krasnodar in the 2019-20 Champions League qualifiers despite carrying a one-goal lead from the first leg away from home.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/16 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 3-0 / 3-0 | Moreirense |
| 2026/03/13 UEFA Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 1-2 / 1-2 | FC Porto |
| 2026/03/09 Primeira Liga | Benfica | 2-2 / 2-2 | FC Porto |
| 2026/03/04 Portuguese Cup | Sporting CP | 1-0 / 1-0 | FC Porto |
| 2026/02/28 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 3-1 / 3-1 | FC Arouca |
| 2026/02/23 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-0 / 1-0 | Rio Ave |
| 2026/02/15 Primeira Liga | Nacional da Madeira | 0-1 / 0-1 | FC Porto |
| 2026/02/10 Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-1 / 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| 2026/02/03 Primeira Liga | Casa Pia AC | 2-1 / 2-1 | FC Porto |
| 2026/01/30 UEFA Europa League | FC Porto | 3-1 / 3-1 | Rangers |
Stuttgart
Stuttgart, meanwhile, have little history to lean on in terms of European comebacks in return legs, but Sebastian Hoeness’s side can draw belief from their last away outing in the Europa League, where they beat Celtic 4-1 in Glasgow in the previous round.
That result underlined their attacking threat on the road, with the Reds scoring at least twice in 10 of their last 13 away matches; all seven wins in that stretch came while conceding no more than once, so defensive discipline will be key if they are to turn this tie around. That said, there is a recent display of resilience to build on, as Stuttgart secured a 1-0 win over Leipzig at home over the weekend, with Undav’s second-half strike proving decisive.
That victory strengthened the Reds’ Champions League push by keeping them fourth in the Bundesliga table while also ending a two-game winless run and marking just their second success in the last six outings across all competitions (D2, L2). This leaves Stuttgart battling inconsistency ahead of Thursday’s encounter as they chase a first quarter-final appearance on the continental stage since reaching the UEFA Cup final in 1988–89, when they lost to Napoli.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/03/16 Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | 1-0 / 1-0 | RB Leipzig |
| 2026/03/13 UEFA Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 1-2 / 1-2 | FC Porto |
| 2026/03/07 Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 2-2 / 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/03/01 Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | 4-0 / 4-0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2026/02/27 UEFA Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 / 0-1 | Celtic FC |
| 2026/02/23 Bundesliga | FC Heidenheim | 3-3 / 3-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/02/20 UEFA Europa League | Celtic FC | 1-4 / 1-4 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/02/15 Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | 3-1 / 3-1 | FC Köln |
| 2026/02/07 Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | 2-1 / 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026/02/05 DFB Pokal | Holstein Kiel | 0-3 / 0-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Stuttgart +0.25 (90 minutes)
European Handicap: Away Win (90 minutes)
Predicted Scores: 1-2, 0-2, 0-1
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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