Match: Conference League
Fixture: AZ Alkmaar vs. FC Noah
Local Kick-off Time: Feb 26, 2026 8.00pm
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ODDS
| Live Average | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | 1.29 | 5.54 | 9.40 |
Prediction: Alkmaar wins
AZ Alkmaar surprisingly lost away to FC Noah in the first leg. Noah’s domestic league is currently in winter break, so they have better fitness than Alkmaar, making this a tough match. Based on Alkmaar’s playoff history, they should comfortably turn the tie around at home and are likely to cover the -1.5 goal handicap.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
AZ Alkmaar
After a slow start in Europe’s third-tier club competition, in which they lost two of their first three matches, AZ responded by keeping three consecutive clean sheets, securing seven points from a possible nine to finish 14th as one of the seeded teams in the playoffs.
That ending to the league phase seemed to suggest that the Cheese Farmers had got the hang of the competition, and they were backed for a narrow victory in last week’s trip to Armenia. However, Leeroy Echteld’s team found no solutions despite having 70% of the ball in Abovyan and creating several presentable scoring chances in the second half, following a disappointing first-half showing.
Having responded with a 3-1 victory over Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday, extending their unbeaten Eredivisie run to three and their undefeated domestic spell to four, a similar outcome on Thursday will put the Alkmaar giants in the round of 16. Still, Echteld’s team’s failure to keep clean sheets will worry the Cheese Farmers boss, whose side have not kept a shutout in six matches across all competitions, managing just two in their last 10 games.
| Competition | Date | Home Team | Score (HT) | Corners | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 26-02-22 | AZ Alkmaar | 3-1 (0-0) | 2-7 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| Europa Conference League | 26-02-20 | NAC Breda (C) | 1-0 (0-0) | 1-5 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Eredivisie | 26-02-15 | SBV Excelsior | 1-2 (0-0) | 7-5 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Eredivisie | 26-02-08 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 (0-0) | 2-4 | Ajax |
| KNVB Cup | 26-02-04 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 (1-0) | 8-11 | Twente |
| Eredivisie | 26-01-31 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-3 (1-2) | 3-3 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Eredivisie | 26-01-25 | Heracles Almelo | 0-1 (0-0) | 5-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Eredivisie | 26-01-18 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 (0-0) | 4-5 | SBV Excelsior |
| Eredivisie | 26-01-22 | PEC Zwolle | 3-1 (2-0) | 3-7 | AZ Alkmaar |
| KNVB Cup | 26-01-15 | AZ Alkmaar | 6-0 (3-0) | 4-3 | Ajax |
FC Noah
Sandro Perkovic’s team have already become the first from the nation to progress to the current intermediate stage on the continent, but they could go one better by securing a positive outcome in Alkmaar. The Armenian champions have been put in this position by Hovhannes Hambardzumyan’s 53rd-minute strike, and they held on despite their absence from competitive action since December.
That match was a 2-0 loss ‘away’ to Dynamo Kyiv a week before Christmas, a fixture played in Poland, and tune-up games prior to hosting AZ had been underwhelming, with Perkovic’s men losing two and drawing as many after a 1-0 victory over Lech on January 24. However, backed by their supporters, the defending Armenian champions produced a resolute defensive performance to stun their Dutch opponents and claim a narrow advantage. Knowing that a draw will suffice in Alkmaar, Noah — who were unbeaten in three overall away Conference League matches, including qualifying, before losing to Kyiv — now seek another positive result on Thursday to make further Armenian football history.
| Competition | Date | Home Team | Score (HT) | Corners | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Conference League | 26-02-20 | NAC Breda (C) | 1-0 (0-0) | 1-5 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Friendly | 26-02-07 | NAC Breda (C) | 0-0 (0-0) | 0-0 | Arsenal |
| Friendly | 26-02-07 | NAC Breda (C) | 5-5 (0-0) | 0-0 | Yunnan Yukun F.C. |
| Friendly | 26-02-04 | FK Rostov | 3-0 (1-0) | 2-3 | NAC Breda (C) |
| Friendly | 26-01-31 | FC Moscow | 2-0 (2-0) | 0-0 | NAC Breda (C) |
| Friendly | 26-01-24 | PFC Sochi | 0-1 (0-0) | 0-0 | NAC Breda (C) |
| Europa Conference League | 25-12-19 | FK Cukaricki | 2-0 (1-0) | 5-4 | NAC Breda (C) |
| Europa Conference League | 25-12-16 | NAC Breda (C) | 2-1 (0-1) | 6-5 | Hua Shaolaijiya |
| American Super League | 25-12-06 | NAC Breda (C) | 2-3 (1-3) | - | BKMA |
| American Super League | 25-12-02 | Millionarios (M) | 0-0 (0-0) | 0-0 | NAC Breda (C) |
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Alkmaar -1.5
European Handicap: Home Win
Predicted Scores: 3-0, 3-1, 4-1
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
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